Games › Open World › Open World + Rhythm
Should I ship a Rhythm Open World game?
Open World + Rhythm
Only 9 developers shipped a Rhythm Open World game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Rocksmith® 2014 Edition REMASTERED LEARN & PLAY, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced, ×4.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $10k, ×6.8 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $4.6M, ×3124 the market median. Revenue is down 100% on the market; 20 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $150 (exactly $150) |
|---|---|
| Median | $10k (exactly $10,194) |
| Top 25% | $74k (exactly $74,479) |
| Top 5% | $4.7M (exactly $4,679,816) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 9 |
| Released games | 35 |
| Announced | 20 |
| Effort | 8 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 100% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 20%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Open World
- effort 8 / 10 · low · effort 8 sits in the low band
- Rhythm
- effort 3 / 10 · medium · audio sync, timing precision and music rights
What it takes
- Effort
- 8 / 10 · online systems, open world
- Systems
- Open World, Rhythm
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 94% positive over 283,440 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $150. 4 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 20 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Open World with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + WuxiaFair
- + 4 Player LocalFair
- + VampiresFair
- + TrainsFair
- + FMVFair
- + GothicFair
- + MarsFair
- + TanksFair
- + FaithLong shot
- + DiplomacyPoor odds
- + Real-Time with PausePoor odds
- + Co-op CampaignPoor odds
Comparable games
Sekiro™: Shadows Die Twice - GOTY Edition 2019 · $467M 
Rocksmith® 2014 Edition REMASTERED LEARN & PLAY 2024 · $4.7M 
Yakuza 5 Remastered 2021 · $3.7M 
Beat Hazard 3 2024 · $351k 
A Highland Song 2023 · $298k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Sekiro™: Shadows Die Twice - GOTY Edition | older | $59.99 | 259,508 95% | 7.8M | $467M (exactly $467,036,548) | FromSoftware, Inc. |
| | Rocksmith® 2014 Edition REMASTERED LEARN & PLAY | $9.99 | 15,615 85% | 468k | $4.7M (exactly $4,679,816) | Ubisoft - San Francisco, Ubisoft - Osaka | |
| | Yakuza 5 Remastered | older | $19.99 | 6,199 88% | 186k | $3.7M (exactly $3,717,540) | RGG Studio |
| | Beat Hazard 3 | older | $19.99 | 586 84% | 18k | $351k (exactly $351,424) | Cold Beam Games |
| | A Highland Song | older | $17.99 | 553 87% | 17k | $298k (exactly $298,454) | inkle Ltd |
 | Rock Star Life Simulator | $12.49 | 498 85% | 15k | $187k (exactly $186,601) | HOGO Games | |
 | Hell Division | older | $13.99 | 191 83% | 5.7k | $80k (exactly $80,163) | Quacky Games |
 | 30 Birds | $17.99 | 138 96% | 4.1k | $74k (exactly $74,479) | RAM RAM Games, Business Goose Studios | |
 | Polynomial 2 - Universe of the Music | · EA older | $11.99 | 133 79% | 4.0k | $48k (exactly $47,840) | Dmytry Lavrov, Alexey Lavrov |
 | Fech The Ferret | · EA older | $24.99 | 19 78% | 570 | $14k (exactly $14,244) | aucritas |
 | The Shaman's Ark | $9.99 | 47 97% | 1.4k | $14k (exactly $14,086) | Amortiz Games | |
 | ARIE: Moonprayer | $16.99 | 20 95% | 600 | $10k (exactly $10,194) | PhantomWorks | |
 | Triangles | $9.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $300 (exactly $300) | DETUNE LTD | |
 | The Three Cardinals | $4.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $150 (exactly $150) | Emanuel Beaulieu | |
 | 我的刀盾 | $0.99 | 5 100% | 150 | $148 (exactly $148) | 庇护所游戏公社 | |
 | Virus Brotherhood | $0.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $59 (exactly $59) | Reanim Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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