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Should I ship a Puzzle Platformer Open World game?
Open World + Puzzle Platformer
Of 70 developers who shipped a Puzzle Platformer Open World game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 151 more are announced, ×4.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $840, ×0.6 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $89. 151 games are announced against 37 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.1 per shipper, while revenue is up 30% on the market.
| Bottom 30% | $89 (exactly $89) |
|---|---|
| Median | $839 (exactly $839) |
| Top 25% | $3.6k (exactly $3,598) |
| Top 5% | $366k (exactly $365,606) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 70 |
| Released games | 216 |
| Announced | 151 |
| Effort | 8 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 30% on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Open World
- effort 8 / 10 · low · effort 8 sits in the low band
- Puzzle Platformer
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 8 / 10 · online systems, open world
- Systems
- Open World, Puzzle Platformer; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Exploration, Puzzle
- Price point
- $7.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Relaxing, Atmospheric, Colorful
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 78% positive over 12,343 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $89. 9 in 10 of the 37 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 151 games are announced against 37 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.1 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Open World with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + WuxiaFair
- + 4 Player LocalFair
- + VampiresFair
- + TrainsFair
- + FMVFair
- + GothicFair
- + MarsFair
- + TanksFair
- + FaithLong shot
- + DiplomacyPoor odds
- + Real-Time with PausePoor odds
- + Co-op CampaignPoor odds
Comparable games
Human Fall Flat 2016 · $105M 
Mirror's Edge™ Catalyst 2020 · $8.4M 
Supraland 2019 · $7.4M 
Farever 2026 · EA · $5.4M 
Thank Goodness You're Here! 2024 · $4.6M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Human Fall Flat | older | $19.99 | 174,835 94% | 5.2M | $105M (exactly $104,848,549) | No Brakes Games |
| | Mirror's Edge™ Catalyst | older | $19.99 | 14,078 79% | 422k | $8.4M (exactly $8,442,577) | DICE |
| | Supraland | older | $19.99 | 12,376 95% | 371k | $7.4M (exactly $7,421,887) | Supra Games |
| | Farever | · EA | $19.99 | 8,968 75% | 269k | $5.4M (exactly $5,378,110) | Shiro Games |
| | Thank Goodness You're Here! | older | $19.99 | 7,742 96% | 232k | $4.6M (exactly $4,642,877) | Coal Supper |
 | Biped | older | $14.99 | 9,025 85% | 271k | $4.1M (exactly $4,058,542) | NEXT Studios |
 | Sable | older | $24.99 | 5,365 86% | 161k | $4.0M (exactly $4,022,140) | Shedworks |
 | Hob | older | $19.99 | 4,667 88% | 140k | $2.8M (exactly $2,798,800) | Runic Games |
 | Song of Nunu: A League of Legends Story | older | $29.99 | 2,742 94% | 82k | $2.5M (exactly $2,466,977) | Tequila Works |
 | Supraland Six Inches Under | older | $19.99 | 3,975 96% | 119k | $2.4M (exactly $2,383,808) | Supra Games |
 | Spirit of the North 2 | $29.99 | 934 85% | 28k | $840k (exactly $840,320) | Infuse Studio | |
 | Gecko Gods | $19.99 | 629 96% | 19k | $377k (exactly $377,211) | Inresin | |
 | Biped 2 | $14.99 | 813 71% | 24k | $366k (exactly $365,606) | META Publishing, NEXT Studios, PlayJoy… (META Publishing, NEXT Studios, PlayJoy Studios) | |
 | Bat to the Heavens | $14.99 | 407 95% | 12k | $183k (exactly $183,028) | ceroro | |
 | Star Overdrive | $34.99 | 141 87% | 4.2k | $148k (exactly $148,008) | Caracal Games | |
 | Ruffy and the Riverside | $19.99 | 170 85% | 5.1k | $102k (exactly $101,949) | Zockrates Laboratories UG | |
 | Garden Trills | $14.99 | 87 96% | 2.6k | $39k (exactly $39,124) | Yukim | |
 | Aggelos 2 | $19.99 | 61 73% | 1.8k | $37k (exactly $36,582) | WONDERBOY BOBI | |
 | Fuck's Quest II | $4.99 | 133 100% | 4.0k | $20k (exactly $19,910) | Ancient Computer Tech |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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