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Should I ship a Music Simulation game?
Simulation + Music
Of 81 developers who shipped a Music Simulation game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 92 more are announced.
Verdict: fair, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $3.0k, ×4.7 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $750. Revenue is up 35% on the market; 92 games are announced against 49 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $748 (exactly $748) |
|---|---|
| Median | $3.0k (exactly $2,970) |
| Top 25% | $31k (exactly $31,176) |
| Top 5% | $556k (exactly $556,279) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 81 |
| Released games | 303 |
| Announced | 92 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 35% on the market, supply 55% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Simulation
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- Music
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Simulation; 3 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Rhythm, Management
- Price point
- $7.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Cute, 2D, 3D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 86% positive over 31,140 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $750. 7 in 10 of the 35 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 92 games are announced against 49 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Simulation with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + Escape RoomStrong odds
- + World War IFair
- + Job SimulatorFair
- + LGBTQ+Fair
- + PinballFair
- + Female ProtagonistFair
- + BirdsFair
- + Artificial IntelligenceFair
- + Auto BattlerFair
- + ProgrammingFair
- + 4 Player LocalFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Need for Speed™ Unbound | older | $69.99 | 49,862 61% | 1.5M | $105M (exactly $104,695,241) | Criterion Games |
| | Rocksmith® 2014 Edition REMASTERED LEARN & PLAY | $9.99 | 15,615 85% | 468k | $4.7M (exactly $4,679,816) | Ubisoft - San Francisco, Ubisoft - Osaka | |
| | Wanderstop | $24.99 | 2,938 92% | 88k | $2.2M (exactly $2,202,619) | Ivy Road | |
| | Yunyun Syndrome!? Rhythm Psychosis | $16.99 | 3,974 91% | 119k | $2.0M (exactly $2,025,548) | Alliance Arts, WHO YOU | |
| | Party Hard 2 | older | $19.99 | 2,419 78% | 73k | $1.5M (exactly $1,450,674) | Pinokl Games, Kverta, Hologryph |
| | Retrowave | older | $2.99 | 13,742 96% | 412k | $1.2M (exactly $1,232,657) | RewindApp |
| | My Dream Setup | older | $5.99 | 6,691 91% | 201k | $1.2M (exactly $1,202,373) | Campfire Studio |
| | PLATiNA :: LAB | $19.99 | 1,780 50% | 53k | $1.1M (exactly $1,067,466) | HIGH-END Games | |
| | MUSYNX | older | $3.99 | 6,274 89% | 188k | $751k (exactly $750,998) | I-Inferno |
| | Beatblock | · EA | $14.99 | 1,237 97% | 37k | $556k (exactly $556,279) | BubbleTabby |
| | Ropuka's Idle Island | $3.99 | 4,048 95% | 121k | $485k (exactly $484,546) | Moczan, Little Chmura, Begoña Pereda | |
| | Maestro | $24.99 | 543 96% | 16k | $407k (exactly $407,087) | Double Jack | |
| | Rock Star Life Simulator | $12.49 | 498 85% | 15k | $187k (exactly $186,601) | HOGO Games | |
| | MUSYNX:RETURN | $19.99 | 284 74% | 8.5k | $170k (exactly $170,315) | I-Inferno | |
| | Piano Glow | · EA | $24.99 | 223 98% | 6.7k | $167k (exactly $167,183) | TheAlanski |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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