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Should I ship a 4 Player Local Simulation game?
Simulation + 4 Player Local
Of 69 developers who shipped a 4 Player Local Simulation game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 86 more are announced.
Verdict: fair, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $2.1k, ×3.3 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $360. Revenue is up 185% on the market; 86 games are announced against 43 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $359 (exactly $359) |
|---|---|
| Median | $2.1k (exactly $2,096) |
| Top 25% | $18k (exactly $17,845) |
| Top 5% | $533k (exactly $532,534) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 69 |
| Released games | 235 |
| Announced | 86 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $8.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 185% on the market, supply 60% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Simulation
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- 4 Player Local
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Simulation, 4 Player Local; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Local Multiplayer, Co-op, Local Co-Op
- Price point
- $8.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Family Friendly, Realistic
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.
The top 10 games average 96% positive over 37,436 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $360. 9 in 10 of the 32 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 86 games are announced against 43 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Simulation with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + Escape RoomStrong odds
- + World War IFair
- + Job SimulatorFair
- + LGBTQ+Fair
- + PinballFair
- + Female ProtagonistFair
- + BirdsFair
- + Artificial IntelligenceFair
- + MusicFair
- + Auto BattlerFair
- + ProgrammingFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | NBA 2K25 | older | $69.99 | 30,969 60% | 929k | $65M (exactly $65,025,609) | Visual Concepts |
| | Overcooked! 2 | older | $24.99 | 61,956 90% | 1.9M | $46M (exactly $46,448,413) | Ghost Town Games Ltd., Team17 |
| | Wobbly Life | $24.99 | 33,034 97% | 991k | $25M (exactly $24,765,590) | RubberBandGames | |
| | Overcooked | older | $16.99 | 13,528 89% | 406k | $6.9M (exactly $6,895,222) | Ghost Town Games Ltd. |
| | Overcooked! All You Can Eat | older | $39.99 | 5,744 73% | 172k | $6.9M (exactly $6,891,077) | Team17 Digital, Ghost Town Games |
| | Cricket 24 | older | $44.99 | 2,435 79% | 73k | $3.3M (exactly $3,286,520) | Big Ant Studios |
| | Super Mega Baseball 3 | older | $44.99 | 1,832 92% | 55k | $2.5M (exactly $2,472,650) | Metalhead Software Inc. |
| | Wrestling Empire | older | $19.99 | 3,036 94% | 91k | $1.8M (exactly $1,820,689) | MDickie |
| | Cook, Serve, Delicious! | older | $12.99 | 3,713 95% | 111k | $1.4M (exactly $1,446,956) | Vertigo Gaming Inc. |
| | THE GAME OF LIFE 2 | older | $12.49 | 3,702 78% | 111k | $1.4M (exactly $1,387,139) | Marmalade Game Studio Ltd |
| | Tennis Elbow 4 | $29.99 | 1,077 96% | 32k | $969k (exactly $968,977) | Mana Games | |
| | Better Mart Simulator | $14.99 | 1,238 89% | 37k | $557k (exactly $556,729) | Exanticx Studio | |
| | Walk of Life | $19.99 | 888 94% | 27k | $533k (exactly $532,534) | Porcelain Fortress | |
| | Vacation Cafe Simulator | $19.99 | 700 88% | 21k | $420k (exactly $419,790) | Alice Games | |
| | Choppy Cuts | $16.99 | 261 75% | 7.8k | $133k (exactly $133,032) | Moco Studios I | |
| | Golden Tee Arcade Classics | $29.99 | 45 86% | 1.4k | $40k (exactly $40,486) | Digital Eclipse | |
| | Jonah Lomu Rugby Challenge 4 | $39.99 | 30 70% | 900 | $36k (exactly $35,991) | Glinda Games | |
| | Pocket Cars | $9.99 | 114 87% | 3.4k | $34k (exactly $34,166) | Gen90Software | |
| | Up to Par | $19.99 | 49 73% | 1.5k | $29k (exactly $29,385) | It's Anecdotal |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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