Do I ship it?

GamesSimulationSimulation + Job Simulator

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Job Simulator Simulation game?

Simulation + Job Simulator

Of 285 developers who shipped a Job Simulator Simulation game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 362 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $12k, ×19 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $3.6k. Revenue is flat on the market; 362 games are announced against 199 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 19.5 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 362 announced, ×1.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Simulation + Job Simulator
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 285
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $106k → $22k → $72k → $27k → $9.7k → $12k → $13k (still earning) → $12k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Simulation + Job Simulator: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 285
Bottom 30% $3.5k (exactly $3,510)
Median $12k (exactly $12,220)
Top 25% $63k (exactly $62,842)
Top 5% $759k (exactly $759,136)
Developers, 2 yr 285
Released games 421
Announced 362
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 110% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Simulation
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Job Simulator
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Simulation, Job Simulator; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Management, Immersive Sim, Life Sim
Price point
$8.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Relaxing, First-Person, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 87,197 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $3.6k, median $12k, 1 in 4 over $62k, 1 in 20 over $750k.

3 in 10 developers made under $3.6k. 5 in 10 of the 108 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 362 games are announced against 199 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Simulation with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds150 devs · median $55k · 81 announced
  2. + Escape RoomStrong odds36 devs · median $3.6k · 26 announced
  3. + World War IFair23 devs · median $32k · 32 announced
  4. + LGBTQ+Fair272 devs · median $9.7k · 303 announced
  5. + PinballFair27 devs · median $8.2k · 28 announced
  6. + Female ProtagonistFair672 devs · median $5.1k · 754 announced
  7. + BirdsFair19 devs · median $3.8k · 16 announced
  8. + Artificial IntelligenceFair387 devs · median $3.0k · 490 announced
  9. + MusicFair81 devs · median $3.0k · 92 announced
  10. + Auto BattlerFair219 devs · median $2.5k · 293 announced
  11. + ProgrammingFair132 devs · median $2.2k · 174 announced
  12. + 4 Player LocalFair69 devs · median $2.1k · 86 announced

All 287 pairs on the Simulation page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Ranch Simulator: Build, Hunt, Farm older $24.99 40,862 79% 1.2M $31M (exactly $30,634,241) Toxic Dog
TCG Card Shop Simulator $19.99 47,357 96% 1.4M $28M (exactly $28,399,993) OPNeon Games
Project Hospital older $24.99 8,387 89% 252k $6.3M (exactly $6,287,734) Oxymoron Games
ReStory: Chill Electronics Repairs $19.99 9,209 95% 276k $5.5M (exactly $5,522,637) Mandragora
Taxi Life: A City Driving Simulator older $29.99 4,414 62% 132k $4.0M (exactly $3,971,276) Simteract
Fast Food Simulator · EA $14.99 8,653 86% 260k $3.9M (exactly $3,891,254) No Ceiling Games
Firefighting Simulator - The Squad older $24.99 4,287 82% 129k $3.2M (exactly $3,213,964) Chronos Unterhaltungssoftware
Storage Hunter Simulator $24.99 3,866 78% 116k $2.9M (exactly $2,898,340) Raccoons Studio
Job Simulator older $19.99 4,406 91% 132k $2.6M (exactly $2,642,278) Owlchemy Labs
Feed the Cups · EA older $15.99 4,708 72% 141k $2.3M (exactly $2,258,428) Vambear Games
Cheap Car Repair $19.69 3,603 91% 108k $2.1M (exactly $2,128,292) Little Dog Games
Go-Go Town! $27.99 2,476 93% 74k $2.1M (exactly $2,079,097) Prideful Sloth
The Ranch of Rivershine $29.99 2,050 94% 62k $1.8M (exactly $1,844,385) Cozy Bee Games
Alchemy Factory $17.99 2,529 87% 76k $1.4M (exactly $1,364,901) D5 Copperhead
Leaf it Alone $5.99 6,244 95% 187k $1.1M (exactly $1,122,047) Eternity
Docked $29.99 1,210 72% 36k $1.1M (exactly $1,088,637) Saber Interactive

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.