Do I ship it?

GamesWargameWargame + Local Co-Op

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Local Co-Op Wargame?

Wargame + Local Co-Op

Only 6 developers shipped a Local Co-Op Wargame in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, DSS 2: War Industry, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 13 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $4.5k against a market of $630. 13 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 7.2 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 13 announced, ×3.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Wargame + Local Co-Op
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 6

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Wargame + Local Co-Op: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 6
Bottom 30% $838 (exactly $838)
Median $4.5k (exactly $4,496)
Top 25% $57k (exactly $57,192)
Top 5% $99k (exactly $98,765)
Developers, 2 yr 6
Released games 32
Announced 13
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Wargame
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Local Co-Op
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Wargame, Local Co-Op
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 7,136 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $840, median $4.5k, 1 in 4 over $57k, 1 in 20 over $98k.

3 in 10 developers made under $840. 13 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Wargame with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Inventory ManagementFair21 devs · median $4.6k · 20 announced
  2. + Local MultiplayerFair28 devs · median $3.0k · 28 announced
  3. + NavalFair37 devs · median $2.4k · 37 announced
  4. + TabletopFair50 devs · median $1.1k · 57 announced
  5. + LogicFair20 devs · median $599 · 26 announced
  6. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds11 devs · median $37k · 24 announced
  7. + Real-TimePoor odds13 devs · median $37k · 17 announced
  8. + Co-opPoor odds43 devs · median $21k · 84 announced
  9. + StealthPoor odds10 devs · median $21k · 39 announced
  10. + DiplomacyPoor odds34 devs · median $17k · 59 announced
  11. + Colony SimPoor odds24 devs · median $16k · 55 announced
  12. + SandboxPoor odds82 devs · median $14k · 142 announced

All 147 pairs on the Wargame page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Axis & Allies 1942 Online older $19.99 4,810 78% 144k $2.9M (exactly $2,884,557) Beamdog
IronWolf VR older $19.99 1,087 94% 33k $652k (exactly $651,874) Ionized Studios
Wargroove 2 older $19.99 403 69% 12k $242k (exactly $241,679) Chucklefish, Robotality
Kingdom, Dungeon, and Hero older $29.99 168 76% 5.0k $151k (exactly $151,150) Kraken Studios
DSS 2: War Industry $17.99 183 83% 5.5k $99k (exactly $98,765) vikingfabian
Civil War: Battle of Petersburg older $11.99 226 82% 6.8k $81k (exactly $81,292) Cult Software
Warplan Pacific older $39.99 59 83% 1.8k $71k (exactly $70,782) Kraken Studios
BattleCap $11.99 159 96% 4.8k $57k (exactly $57,192) MechAlmond Productions
Panzers on the Steppe older $59.99 7 42% 210 $13k (exactly $12,598) Demetrios Glinos
Kamikaze Veggies older $9.99 34 88% 1.0k $10k (exactly $10,190) Red Limb Studio
Eagles of World War 2 $9.99 15 86% 450 $4.5k (exactly $4,496) Paul Connor
Medic Mayhem $9.99 13 100% 390 $3.9k (exactly $3,896) Martta, tatsoni, WDC
War and Politics · EA $3.99 7 42% 210 $838 (exactly $838) JIYUTORISEI
DEAD COMMAND · EA $6.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) AET GAMES

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.