Do I ship it?

GamesThird-Person ShooterThird-Person Shooter + Time Management

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Time Management Third-Person Shooter?

Third-Person Shooter + Time Management

Only 15 developers shipped a Time Management Third-Person Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Emergency Call - The Firefighting Simulation 3, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 12 more are announced.

Verdict: long shot, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $540, ×0.4 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, but 1 in 20 cleared $270k, ×185 the market median. Revenue is up 15% on the market; 12 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 15% on the market, 12 announced, ×1.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Third-Person Shooter + Time Management
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 15
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $239 → $839 → $1.9k → $240 (still earning) → $9.3k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Third-Person Shooter + Time Management: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 15
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $538 (exactly $538)
Top 25% $3.0k (exactly $2,992)
Top 5% $277k (exactly $277,389)
Developers, 2 yr 15
Released games 28
Announced 12
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 15% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Third-Person Shooter
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Time Management
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Third-Person Shooter, Time Management; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Immersive Sim, Online Co-Op
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Third Person, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 77% positive over 540 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $540, 1 in 4 over $2.9k, 1 in 20 over $270k.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. All of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 12 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Third-Person Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RhythmStrong odds6 devs · median $3.3k · 6 announced
  2. + WesternFair15 devs · median $1.4k · 16 announced
  3. + CollectathonLong shot19 devs · median $599 · 20 announced
  4. + Walking SimulatorLong shot27 devs · median $479 · 27 announced
  5. + Class-BasedPoor odds11 devs · median $13k · 53 announced
  6. + Creature CollectorPoor odds12 devs · median $13k · 15 announced
  7. + DinosaursPoor odds8 devs · median $9.0k · 14 announced
  8. + MechsPoor odds38 devs · median $7.2k · 63 announced
  9. + Alternate HistoryPoor odds12 devs · median $6.9k · 70 announced
  10. + Level EditorPoor odds10 devs · median $6.9k · 14 announced
  11. + CraftingPoor odds65 devs · median $5.1k · 156 announced
  12. + LovecraftianPoor odds11 devs · median $5.1k · 24 announced

All 163 pairs on the Third-Person Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Emergency Call - The Firefighting Simulation 3 · EA $24.99 370 71% 11k $277k (exactly $277,389) Crenetic GmbH Studios
Timemelters older $19.99 152 92% 4.6k $91k (exactly $91,154) Autoexec Games
Flirting Goddesses by AFK $2.99 104 96% 3.1k $9.3k (exactly $9,329) God's City Days
Organic Burger Simulator · EA $14.99 12 58% 360 $5.4k (exactly $5,396) Mehmet Bilici, Hüseyin Doğan
Grim Pastures · EA $3.99 25 96% 750 $3.0k (exactly $2,992) 7hgamestudio
Money Theft 3 Last Mission $4.99 13 84% 390 $1.9k (exactly $1,946) Tero Lunkka, Valkeala Software
Herder older $4.99 13 92% 390 $1.9k (exactly $1,946) Porchman Games
IRIDESCENT · EA older $9.99 6 83% 180 $1.8k (exactly $1,798) Cup of Crow
LAST CHICK - 最後のひよこ older $2.99 19 73% 570 $1.7k (exactly $1,704) KIMIDORI SOFT
DA PAPER BOY $10.99 4 75% 120 $1.3k (exactly $1,319) 3D Dojo Studios
中国式富豪 $6.99 4 25% 120 $839 (exactly $839) 大米粥工作室
Infinite Space: Mining $2.99 6 66% 180 $538 (exactly $538) Taner Saydam
Noir Mafia Simulator: 1960s American Crime · EA $7.99 1 0% 30 $240 (exactly $240) Meraki Tech
Maze of Perdition $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) Wesley J Nogueira

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.