Games › Class-Based › Class-Based + Third-Person Shooter
Should I ship a Class-Based Third-Person Shooter?
Class-Based + Third-Person Shooter
Only 11 developers shipped a Class-Based Third-Person Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Heroes of Valor, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 53 more are announced, ×8.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $13k, ×9.0 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $780; 1 in 20 cleared $590k, ×397 the market median. Revenue is flat on the market; 53 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $779 (exactly $779) |
|---|---|
| Median | $13k (exactly $13,486) |
| Top 25% | $132k (exactly $131,568) |
| Top 5% | $595k (exactly $595,403) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 11 |
| Released games | 47 |
| Announced | 53 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 30%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Class-Based
- effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
- Third-Person Shooter
- effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- Class-Based, Third-Person Shooter
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 88% positive over 2,493 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $780. 7 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 53 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×8.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Class-Based with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + AutomationFair
- + Bullet HeavenFair
- + SupernaturalLong shot
- + 2D PlatformerLong shot
- + FPSPoor odds
- + MMORPGPoor odds
- + Base BuildingPoor odds
- + WarPoor odds
- + Souls-likePoor odds
- + MilitaryPoor odds
- + WargamePoor odds
- + ManagementPoor odds
Comparable games
EARTH DEFENSE FORCE 5 2019 · $17M 
EARTH DEFENSE FORCE: IRON RAIN 2019 · $2.3M 
Heroes of Valor 2025 · EA · $595k 
Warhammer 40,000: Speed Freeks 2025 · $296k 
Lead and Gold: Gangs of the Wild West 2010 · $272k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | EARTH DEFENSE FORCE 5 | older | $59.99 | 9,375 93% | 281k | $17M (exactly $16,872,188) | SANDLOT |
| | EARTH DEFENSE FORCE: IRON RAIN | older | $59.99 | 1,256 58% | 38k | $2.3M (exactly $2,260,423) | YUKE'S |
| | Heroes of Valor | · EA | $14.99 | 1,324 90% | 40k | $595k (exactly $595,403) | Fancy Cat Interactive |
| | Warhammer 40,000: Speed Freeks | $19.99 | 493 85% | 15k | $296k (exactly $295,652) | Caged Element | |
| | Lead and Gold: Gangs of the Wild West | older | $9.99 | 907 70% | 27k | $272k (exactly $271,828) | Fatshark |
 | Apewar | · EA older | $0.99 | 6,890 92% | 207k | $205k (exactly $204,633) | Radatomic Studios |
 | Birds of War | $9.99 | 439 87% | 13k | $132k (exactly $131,568) | HexNest Games | |
 | SHRIMP GAME: OVERKRILL | $11.99 | 93 89% | 2.8k | $33k (exactly $33,452) | GasGod Games, GLUE MAN | |
 | Ultra Mega Cats | · EA | $11.99 | 70 74% | 2.1k | $25k (exactly $25,179) | Fallen Leaf, Unseen Silence, Black Drak… (Fallen Leaf, Unseen Silence, Black Drakkar Games) |
 | SPECTRE | · EA older | $9.99 | 76 55% | 2.3k | $23k (exactly $22,777) | Symbiosis Games |
 | Shadows of Soldiers | $9.99 | 45 75% | 1.4k | $13k (exactly $13,486) | Ghost in the Wire | |
 | North Hunt | $6.50 | 24 75% | 720 | $4.7k (exactly $4,680) | NewGen | |
 | Horde Together | · EA | $12.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $779 (exactly $779) | Fluffers Interactive |
 | Ashbound Expanse | $9.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $300 (exactly $300) | AxionDriftGame | |
 | Wildlife Warfare | · EA | $3.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $239 (exactly $239) | Jerome Craig |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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