Games › Third-Person Shooter › Third-Person Shooter + Walking Simulator
Should I ship a Walking Simulator Third-Person Shooter?
Third-Person Shooter + Walking Simulator
Of 27 developers who shipped a Walking Simulator Third-Person Shooter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 27 more are announced.
Verdict: long shot, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $480, ×0.3 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, but 1 in 20 cleared $110k, ×74 the market median. Revenue is up 15% on the market; 27 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $60 (exactly $60) |
|---|---|
| Median | $479 (exactly $479) |
| Top 25% | $1.8k (exactly $1,797) |
| Top 5% | $110k (exactly $110,345) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 27 |
| Released games | 79 |
| Announced | 27 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $5.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 15% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Third-Person Shooter
- effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
- Walking Simulator
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- Third-Person Shooter, Walking Simulator; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Action-Adventure
- Price point
- $5.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Realistic, Third Person, 3D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.
The top 10 games average 94% positive over 15,733 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $60. All of the 16 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 27 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Third-Person Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + RhythmStrong odds
- + WesternFair
- + CollectathonLong shot
- + Time ManagementLong shot
- + Class-BasedPoor odds
- + Creature CollectorPoor odds
- + DinosaursPoor odds
- + MechsPoor odds
- + Alternate HistoryPoor odds
- + Level EditorPoor odds
- + CraftingPoor odds
- + LovecraftianPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | DEATH STRANDING DIRECTOR'S CUT | older | $39.99 | 49,837 91% | 1.5M | $60M (exactly $59,789,449) | KOJIMA PRODUCTIONS |
| | DEATH STRANDING 2: ON THE BEACH | $69.99 | 15,434 94% | 463k | $32M (exactly $32,406,770) | KOJIMA PRODUCTIONS, Nixxes Software | |
| | GOHOME | older | $14.99 | 328 85% | 9.8k | $148k (exactly $147,502) | 市松製化, https://1ma2szk.booth.pm/ |
| | Sex Trainer's Diary: Hidden Kink | $19.99 | 184 70% | 5.5k | $110k (exactly $110,345) | 老二打鐵舖, 072 Localize, NOVA CONCEPT | |
| | VERGE:Lost chapter | older | $0.99 | 2,874 52% | 86k | $85k (exactly $85,358) | GDNomaD |
| | Dread X Collection 5 | older | $9.99 | 251 81% | 7.5k | $75k (exactly $75,225) | Christopher Yabsley, Stroboskop, Viscer… (Christopher Yabsley, Stroboskop, VisceralError, Nikk F., FYRE Games, Roope Tamminen, Shakles, Darkstone Digital, Philisophic Games, Colorfiction, iwilliams, Matt Reeves, Abbey 'Scruncho' Smith) |
| | Unearthed: Trail of Ibn Battuta - Episode 1 - Gold Edition | older | $4.99 | 481 60% | 14k | $72k (exactly $72,006) | Semaphore |
| | It Comes In Waves | older | $2.99 | 382 92% | 11k | $34k (exactly $34,265) | Antonio Freyre |
| | project BLARI | older | $5.99 | 153 87% | 4.6k | $27k (exactly $27,494) | MaxEstLa |
| | Sex Standing | older | $3.99 | 218 53% | 6.5k | $26k (exactly $26,095) | Octo Games |
| | Hollowreach - Alone | $6.99 | 33 72% | 990 | $6.9k (exactly $6,920) | TDOG STUDIOS | |
| | Assassin Of Dombardos | $9.99 | 10 80% | 300 | $3.0k (exactly $2,997) | Saylor Games | |
| | P4ST3L | · EA | $5.99 | 15 53% | 450 | $2.7k (exactly $2,696) | UsaginO |
| | Money Theft | $4.99 | 13 76% | 390 | $1.9k (exactly $1,946) | Valkeala Software, Tero Lunkka | |
| | Money Theft 3 Last Mission | $4.99 | 13 84% | 390 | $1.9k (exactly $1,946) | Tero Lunkka, Valkeala Software | |
| | Assassin Of Spider 2: 2099 | $5.99 | 10 80% | 300 | $1.8k (exactly $1,797) | Saylor games | |
| | Evil World HOPSCA | $12.99 | 4 0% | 120 | $1.6k (exactly $1,559) | XU RENYU | |
| | Big Theft Valkeala | $2.99 | 17 76% | 510 | $1.5k (exactly $1,525) | Tero Lunkka, Valkeala Software, Kendall… (Tero Lunkka, Valkeala Software, Kendall Studios) |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.