Do I ship it?

GamesThird-Person ShooterThird-Person Shooter + Level Editor

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Level Editor Third-Person Shooter?

Third-Person Shooter + Level Editor

Only 10 developers shipped a Level Editor Third-Person Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, s&box, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 14 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $6.9k, ×4.6 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $720; 1 in 20 cleared $1.5M, ×1024 the market median. Revenue is down 100% on the market; 14 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 14 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Third-Person Shooter + Level Editor
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Third-Person Shooter + Level Editor: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $719 (exactly $719)
Median $6.9k (exactly $6,920)
Top 25% $158k (exactly $158,321)
Top 5% $1.5M (exactly $1,533,865)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 34
Announced 14
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 100% on the market, supply 135% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 32%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Third-Person Shooter
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Level Editor
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Third-Person Shooter, Level Editor
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 8 games average 50% positive over 5,801 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $720, median $6.9k, 1 in 4 over $150k, 1 in 20 over $1.5M.

3 in 10 developers made under $720. 14 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Third-Person Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RhythmStrong odds6 devs · median $3.3k · 6 announced
  2. + WesternFair15 devs · median $1.4k · 16 announced
  3. + CollectathonLong shot19 devs · median $599 · 20 announced
  4. + Time ManagementLong shot15 devs · median $538 · 12 announced
  5. + Walking SimulatorLong shot27 devs · median $479 · 27 announced
  6. + Class-BasedPoor odds11 devs · median $13k · 53 announced
  7. + Creature CollectorPoor odds12 devs · median $13k · 15 announced
  8. + DinosaursPoor odds8 devs · median $9.0k · 14 announced
  9. + MechsPoor odds38 devs · median $7.2k · 63 announced
  10. + Alternate HistoryPoor odds12 devs · median $6.9k · 70 announced
  11. + CraftingPoor odds65 devs · median $5.1k · 156 announced
  12. + LovecraftianPoor odds11 devs · median $5.1k · 24 announced

All 163 pairs on the Third-Person Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
s&box $9.99 5,118 46% 154k $1.5M (exactly $1,533,865) Facepunch Studios
Haydee 2 older $24.99 1,649 87% 49k $1.2M (exactly $1,236,255) Haydee Interactive
Black One Blood Brothers · EA older $17.99 1,366 78% 41k $737k (exactly $737,230) Helios Studio
Cloudbuilt older $19.99 798 86% 24k $479k (exactly $478,561) Coilworks
Haydee 3 $29.99 321 84% 9.6k $289k (exactly $288,804) Haydee Interactive
Command & Conquer Renegade™ older $6.96 851 83% 26k $178k (exactly $177,689) Westwood Studios
Block Fortress 2 $19.99 264 81% 7.9k $158k (exactly $158,321) Foursaken Media
Beat Aim - Rhythm FPS Trainer · EA older $14.99 210 89% 6.3k $94k (exactly $94,437) Kamyker
Heavenworld older $11.99 232 59% 7.0k $83k (exactly $83,450) Helios Production
Realistic Ragdoll Sandbox older $2.99 488 88% 15k $44k (exactly $43,774) RelvasDev
Sex Shop Simulator: Sinful Girls $7.99 57 43% 1.7k $14k (exactly $13,663) Bits, Bytes & Sins
Maelstrom: The Battle for Earth Begins Enhanced $6.99 33 75% 990 $6.9k (exactly $6,920) KDV Games
Rubble Eats The World $9.99 4 100% 120 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) nocanwin
RollBot $7.99 3 100% 90 $719 (exactly $719) Tsukoni
Attribute2 $0.99 1 0% 30 $30 (exactly $30) GreatZaochen
Tank Busters · EA $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) tankotableat
Alien Raid $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) 程进

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.