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Should I ship a Job Simulator Open World game?
Open World + Job Simulator
Of 21 developers who shipped a Job Simulator Open World game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 28 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $3.6k, ×2.4 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $990; 1 in 20 cleared $130k, ×90 the market median. Revenue is down 65% on the market; 28 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $987 (exactly $987) |
|---|---|
| Median | $3.6k (exactly $3,591) |
| Top 25% | $25k (exactly $25,168) |
| Top 5% | $135k (exactly $134,796) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 21 |
| Released games | 41 |
| Announced | 28 |
| Effort | 8 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $8.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 65% on the market, supply 10% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 5%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Open World
- effort 8 / 10 · low · effort 8 sits in the low band
- Job Simulator
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 8 / 10 · online systems, open world
- Systems
- Open World, Job Simulator; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Immersive Sim, Life Sim
- Price point
- $8.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
- Art
- 7 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Realistic
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.
The top 10 games average 73% positive over 2,217 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $990. 6 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 28 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Open World with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + WuxiaFair
- + 4 Player LocalFair
- + VampiresFair
- + TrainsFair
- + FMVFair
- + GothicFair
- + MarsFair
- + TanksFair
- + FaithLong shot
- + DiplomacyPoor odds
- + Real-Time with PausePoor odds
- + Co-op CampaignPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Ranch Simulator: Build, Hunt, Farm | older | $24.99 | 40,862 79% | 1.2M | $31M (exactly $30,634,241) | Toxic Dog |
| | Taxi Life: A City Driving Simulator | older | $29.99 | 4,414 62% | 132k | $4.0M (exactly $3,971,276) | Simteract |
| | Firefighting Simulator - The Squad | older | $24.99 | 4,287 82% | 129k | $3.2M (exactly $3,213,964) | Chronos Unterhaltungssoftware |
| | Loddlenaut | older | $19.99 | 3,832 98% | 115k | $2.3M (exactly $2,298,050) | Moon Lagoon |
| | AirportSim | older | $34.99 | 1,412 67% | 42k | $1.5M (exactly $1,482,176) | MS GAMES, MK STUDIOS |
| | Passpartout 2: The Lost Artist | older | $24.99 | 1,234 95% | 37k | $925k (exactly $925,130) | Flamebait Games |
| | Animal Shelter 2 | $24.99 | 1,204 79% | 36k | $903k (exactly $902,639) | Games Incubator | |
| | Train Life: A Railway Simulator | older | $19.99 | 1,451 63% | 44k | $870k (exactly $870,165) | Simteract |
| | Bus-Simulator 2012 | older | $6.99 | 986 43% | 30k | $207k (exactly $206,764) | TML-Studios |
| | Fishing Paradiso | older | $14.99 | 301 91% | 9.0k | $135k (exactly $135,360) | Odencat |
| | Snow Plowing Simulator | $15.99 | 281 64% | 8.4k | $135k (exactly $134,796) | FreeMind S.A. | |
| | Emergency Room Simulator | $24.99 | 154 43% | 4.6k | $115k (exactly $115,454) | Caipirinha Games | |
| | Food Delivery Simulator | · EA | $7.99 | 302 77% | 9.1k | $72k (exactly $72,389) | Black Sea Studios |
| | Constracktion | $14.99 | 62 66% | 1.9k | $28k (exactly $27,881) | Lapioware | |
| | Biztopia | · EA | $7.99 | 105 68% | 3.2k | $25k (exactly $25,168) | Lymo Games |
| | Drive Thru Miami - Restaurant Simulator | · EA | $9.99 | 60 60% | 1.8k | $18k (exactly $17,982) | Alkame Games |
| | Designated Driver Simulator | · EA | $17.99 | 16 62% | 480 | $8.6k (exactly $8,635) | PostSIM |
| | Casino Management Simulator | · EA | $12.99 | 20 60% | 600 | $7.8k (exactly $7,794) | BroxStudios |
| | Street Vendor's Journey | · EA | $9.99 | 13 92% | 390 | $3.9k (exactly $3,896) | Wet Fox Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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