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Should I ship a Hex Grid Wargame?
Wargame + Hex Grid
Of 41 developers who shipped a Hex Grid Wargame in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 67 more are announced, ×2.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $3.0k, ×4.7 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $630; 1 in 20 cleared $48k, ×77 the market median. Revenue is up 180% on the market; 67 games are announced against 25 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $629 (exactly $629) |
|---|---|
| Median | $3.0k (exactly $2,967) |
| Top 25% | $13k (exactly $12,579) |
| Top 5% | $48k (exactly $48,279) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 41 |
| Released games | 162 |
| Announced | 67 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 180% on the market, supply 55% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Wargame, Hex Grid; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Turn-Based Strategy, Turn-Based Tactics
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $22.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $22.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 86% positive over 576 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $630. All of the 17 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 67 games are announced against 25 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Wargame with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Inventory ManagementFair
- + Local MultiplayerFair
- + NavalFair
- + TabletopFair
- + LogicFair
- + Real-Time with PausePoor odds
- + Real-TimePoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + StealthPoor odds
- + DiplomacyPoor odds
- + Colony SimPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
Comparable games
Warhammer 40,000: Gladius - Relics of War 2018 · $9.8M 
Panzer Corps 2 2020 · $4.2M 
Panzer Corps Gold 2014 · $2.0M 
Unity of Command II 2019 · $1.8M 
Shadow Empire 2020 · $1.7M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Warhammer 40,000: Gladius - Relics of War | older | $39.99 | 8,148 82% | 244k | $9.8M (exactly $9,775,156) | Proxy Studios |
| | Panzer Corps 2 | older | $39.99 | 3,512 84% | 105k | $4.2M (exactly $4,213,346) | Flashback Games |
| | Panzer Corps Gold | older | $29.99 | 2,227 91% | 67k | $2.0M (exactly $2,003,632) | Flashback Games, The Lordz Games Studio |
| | Unity of Command II | older | $29.99 | 2,042 79% | 61k | $1.8M (exactly $1,837,187) | 2x2 Games, Croteam |
| | Shadow Empire | older | $39.99 | 1,431 82% | 43k | $1.7M (exactly $1,716,771) | VR Designs |
 | Fantasy General II | older | $39.99 | 1,034 82% | 31k | $1.2M (exactly $1,240,490) | Owned by Gravity |
 | Urtuk: The Desolation | older | $13.99 | 2,408 87% | 72k | $1.0M (exactly $1,010,638) | David Kaleta |
 | The Troop | older | $39.99 | 816 83% | 24k | $979k (exactly $978,955) | Giant Flame |
 | Hex of Steel | older | $24.99 | 863 95% | 26k | $647k (exactly $646,991) | War Frogs Studio |
 | Second Front | older | $34.99 | 613 78% | 18k | $643k (exactly $643,466) | Hexdraw |
 | 大戦略SSB2 | $59.99 | 36 66% | 1.1k | $65k (exactly $64,789) | Systemsoft beta, Inc. | |
 | Imperial Ambitions | $19.99 | 101 81% | 3.0k | $61k (exactly $60,570) | aoiti | |
 | Space Imperia 4X | $22.99 | 70 92% | 2.1k | $48k (exactly $48,279) | Breich Games | |
 | Tactical Annihilation | $15.99 | 56 98% | 1.7k | $27k (exactly $26,863) | B.G. Game Studio | |
 | Dread Admiral | $13.99 | 59 89% | 1.8k | $25k (exactly $24,762) | Tescrin Games | |
 | Sword & Siege Crusades: Book I | $39.95 | 19 100% | 570 | $23k (exactly $22,772) | Wargame Design Studio | |
 | Warhammer 40,000: Chaos Gate (Classic) | $9.99 | 74 90% | 2.2k | $22k (exactly $22,178) | Random Games | |
 | Combat Directive : Napoleonic Wars | $19.99 | 36 88% | 1.1k | $22k (exactly $21,589) | Fatice Games | |
 | Great Powers | $14.99 | 37 67% | 1.1k | $17k (exactly $16,639) | Flame-Dragons, Flame-Dragons | |
 | Final Liberation: Warhammer Epic 40,000 (Classic) | $5.99 | 88 87% | 2.6k | $16k (exactly $15,814) | Holistic Design Inc |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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