Do I ship it?

Games › Football (American) › Football (American) + Tactical

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Tactical Football (American) game?

Football (American) + Tactical

Only 12 developers shipped a Tactical Football (American) game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, INAZUMA ELEVEN: Victory Road, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 8 more are announced.

Verdict: strong odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $5.8k, ×3.9 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 7 in 10 cleared $1.1k. Revenue is up 680% on the market; 8 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×0.8 per shipper.

Deciding numbers: median 3.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 680% on the market, 8 announced, ×0.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Football (American) + Tactical
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $21k → $8.1k (still earning) → $3.7k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Football (American) + Tactical: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $1.2k (exactly $1,199)
Median $5.8k (exactly $5,846)
Top 25% $21k (exactly $20,992)
Top 5% $23M (exactly $23,474,646)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 29
Announced 8
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $14.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 680% on the market, supply 235% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Football (American)
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Tactical
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Football (American), Tactical
Price point
$14.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 11,373 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.2k, median $5.8k, 1 in 4 over $20k, 1 in 20 over $23M.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.2k. 8 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Football (American) with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Character CustomizationStrong odds14 devs · median $3.6k · 12 announced
  2. + PvPFair17 devs · median $1.8k · 12 announced
  3. + Local MultiplayerFair13 devs · median $1.8k · 4 announced
  4. + SportsFair50 devs · median $1.3k · 40 announced
  5. + ActionFair16 devs · median $1.3k · 6 announced
  6. + Football (Soccer)Long shot15 devs · median $719 · 9 announced
  7. + Choices MatterPoor odds11 devs · median $8.1k · 7 announced
  8. + ManagementPoor odds18 devs · median $3.6k · 18 announced
  9. + StrategyPoor odds22 devs · median $3.6k · 20 announced
  10. + SimulationPoor odds34 devs · median $2.4k · 19 announced
  11. + ArcadePoor odds13 devs · median $898 · 11 announced
  12. + PhysicsPoor odds11 devs · median $719 · 7 announced

All 12 pairs on the Football (American) page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

INAZUMA ELEVEN: Victory Road 2025 · $23M Blood Bowl 2: Legendary Edition (Classic) 2017 · $6.4M Blood Bowl: Chaos Edition (Classic) 2012 · $623k Rugby League Team Manager 3 2020 · $90k Rugby Union Team Manager 3 2020 · $70k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
INAZUMA ELEVEN: Victory Road $69.99 11,180 88% 335k $23M (exactly $23,474,646) LEVEL5 Inc.
Blood Bowl 2: Legendary Edition (Classic) older $29.99 7,077 78% 212k $6.4M (exactly $6,367,177) Cyanide Studios
Blood Bowl: Chaos Edition (Classic) older $14.99 1,386 79% 42k $623k (exactly $623,284) Cyanide Studios
Rugby League Team Manager 3 older $39.99 75 80% 2.3k $90k (exactly $89,978) Alternative Software Ltd
Rugby Union Team Manager 3 older $39.99 58 68% 1.7k $70k (exactly $69,583) Alternative Software Ltd
Axis Football 2019 older $9.99 112 69% 3.4k $34k (exactly $33,566) Axis Games
Pro Strategy Football 2023 older $14.99 71 84% 2.1k $32k (exactly $31,929) Kerry Batts
Pro Strategy Football 2022 older $12.99 81 86% 2.4k $32k (exactly $31,566) Kerry Batts
Pro Strategy Football 2024 older $19.99 46 78% 1.4k $28k (exactly $27,586) Kerry Batts
War Room Football $9.99 71 94% 2.1k $21k (exactly $21,279) Tanish Jagtap
Pro Strategy Football 2026 $24.99 28 89% 840 $21k (exactly $20,992) Kerry Batts
Football Fictional World Simulator $14.99 24 75% 720 $11k (exactly $10,793) keigo0221
Gridiron Masters '98 · EA $9.99 27 81% 810 $8.1k (exactly $8,092) Software98
Football Dynasty Manager $14.99 13 84% 390 $5.8k (exactly $5,846) Nekolitch Games
Pro Strategy Football 2027 $24.99 5 60% 150 $3.7k (exactly $3,748) Kerry Batts
Dynasty! $14.99 8 87% 240 $3.6k (exactly $3,598) newberry94005
Ultimate Soccer $2.99 15 73% 450 $1.3k (exactly $1,346) Grands
Indoor Football Manager 2 $19.99 2 100% 60 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) Statline Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.