Do I ship it?

Games › Football (American) › Football (American) + Local Multiplayer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Local Multiplayer Football (American) game?

Football (American) + Local Multiplayer

Only 13 developers shipped a Local Multiplayer Football (American) game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, EA SPORTS™ College Football 27, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 4 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.8k, ×1.2 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $720. Revenue is up 440% on the market; 4 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 440% on the market, 4 announced, ×0.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Football (American) + Local Multiplayer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $28k → $899 → $69k → $5.4k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Football (American) + Local Multiplayer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $719 (exactly $719)
Median $1.8k (exactly $1,797)
Top 25% $69k (exactly $68,966)
Top 5% $5.4M (exactly $5,423,525)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 47
Announced 4
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $11.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 440% on the market, supply 80% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Football (American)
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Local Multiplayer
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Football (American), Local Multiplayer; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry PvP, Sports, Co-op
Price point
$11.99 typical · top 25% priced $69.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Realistic
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $69.99 or above; the middle game at $11.99.

The top 10 games average 42% positive over 4,274 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $720, median $1.8k, 1 in 4 over $68k, 1 in 20 over $5.4M.

3 in 10 developers made under $720. 6 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 4 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Football (American) with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TacticalStrong odds12 devs · median $5.8k · 8 announced
  2. + Character CustomizationStrong odds14 devs · median $3.6k · 12 announced
  3. + PvPFair17 devs · median $1.8k · 12 announced
  4. + SportsFair50 devs · median $1.3k · 40 announced
  5. + ActionFair16 devs · median $1.3k · 6 announced
  6. + Football (Soccer)Long shot15 devs · median $719 · 9 announced
  7. + Choices MatterPoor odds11 devs · median $8.1k · 7 announced
  8. + ManagementPoor odds18 devs · median $3.6k · 18 announced
  9. + StrategyPoor odds22 devs · median $3.6k · 20 announced
  10. + SimulationPoor odds34 devs · median $2.4k · 19 announced
  11. + ArcadePoor odds13 devs · median $898 · 11 announced
  12. + PhysicsPoor odds11 devs · median $719 · 7 announced

All 12 pairs on the Football (American) page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

FlatOut 2 2006 · $5.8M EA SPORTS™ College Football 27 2026 · $5.4M EA SPORTS™ Madden NFL 27 2026 · $1.7M Rugby 25 2025 · $831k Legend Bowl 2021 · $682k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
FlatOut 2 older $9.99 19,466 95% 584k $5.8M (exactly $5,833,960) Bugbear Entertainment, ZOOM Platform Me… (Bugbear Entertainment, ZOOM Platform Media, Jordan Freeman Group)
EA SPORTS™ College Football 27 $69.99 2,583 40% 77k $5.4M (exactly $5,423,525) Tiburon
EA SPORTS™ Madden NFL 27 $69.99 793 36% 24k $1.7M (exactly $1,665,062) Tiburon
Rugby 25 $49.99 554 38% 17k $831k (exactly $830,834) Big Ant Studios
Legend Bowl older $24.99 910 87% 27k $682k (exactly $682,227) Super Pixel Games
AFL 23 older $59.99 370 45% 11k $666k (exactly $665,889) Big Ant Studios
Football Simulator · EA older $19.99 896 79% 27k $537k (exactly $537,331) Refactor Games
Mutant Football League older $9.99 689 93% 21k $206k (exactly $206,493) Digital Dreams Entertainment
College Bowl older $24.99 263 84% 7.9k $197k (exactly $197,171) Super Pixel Games
Sunday Rivals older $19.99 300 91% 9.0k $180k (exactly $179,910) 26k
Mutant Football League 2 $24.99 135 73% 4.1k $101k (exactly $101,210) Digital Dreams Entertainment
Axis Football 2026 $19.99 115 75% 3.5k $69k (exactly $68,966) Axis Games
Axis Football 2027 $19.99 44 72% 1.3k $26k (exactly $26,387) Axis Games
Lacrosse 26 $34.99 17 88% 510 $18k (exactly $17,845) Crosse Studios
Brutal Ball Manager 2 · EA $9.99 18 100% 540 $5.4k (exactly $5,395) Stout Kassel Games
Rough Rivals $5.99 10 100% 300 $1.8k (exactly $1,797) Constantin Roussel
7on7 Football $8.99 5 100% 150 $1.3k (exactly $1,348) Spear Interactive, Pyramid Lake Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.