Do I ship it?

Games › Football (American) › Football (American) + Football (Soccer)

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Football (American) Football (Soccer) game?

Football (American) + Football (Soccer)

Only 15 developers shipped a Football (American) Football (Soccer) game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, INAZUMA ELEVEN: Victory Road, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 9 more are announced.

Verdict: long shot, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $720, ×0.5 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, but 1 in 20 cleared $23M, ×15671 the market median. Revenue is up 2600% on the market; 9 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 2600% on the market, 9 announced, ×1.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Football (American) + Football (Soccer)
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 15
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $30 → $239 → $3.0k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Football (American) + Football (Soccer): Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 15
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $719 (exactly $719)
Top 25% $3.6k (exactly $3,596)
Top 5% $23M (exactly $23,474,646)
Developers, 2 yr 15
Released games 27
Announced 9
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 2600% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Football (American)
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Football (Soccer)
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Football (American), Football (Soccer); 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Sports, Simulation, Basketball
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $69.99 or above
Art
8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $69.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 11,269 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $720, 1 in 4 over $3.5k, 1 in 20 over $23M.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. All of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 9 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Football (American) with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TacticalStrong odds12 devs · median $5.8k · 8 announced
  2. + Character CustomizationStrong odds14 devs · median $3.6k · 12 announced
  3. + PvPFair17 devs · median $1.8k · 12 announced
  4. + Local MultiplayerFair13 devs · median $1.8k · 4 announced
  5. + SportsFair50 devs · median $1.3k · 40 announced
  6. + ActionFair16 devs · median $1.3k · 6 announced
  7. + Choices MatterPoor odds11 devs · median $8.1k · 7 announced
  8. + ManagementPoor odds18 devs · median $3.6k · 18 announced
  9. + StrategyPoor odds22 devs · median $3.6k · 20 announced
  10. + SimulationPoor odds34 devs · median $2.4k · 19 announced
  11. + ArcadePoor odds13 devs · median $898 · 11 announced
  12. + PhysicsPoor odds11 devs · median $719 · 7 announced

All 12 pairs on the Football (American) page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

INAZUMA ELEVEN: Victory Road 2025 · $23M Super Slam Dunk Touchdown 2015 · $18k Lacrosse 26 2026 · $18k Football Fictional World Simulator 2026 · $11k KURT - DER FUSSBALLMANAGER 2020 · $7.9k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
INAZUMA ELEVEN: Victory Road $69.99 11,180 88% 335k $23M (exactly $23,474,646) LEVEL5 Inc.
Super Slam Dunk Touchdown older $15.00 41 75% 1.2k $18k (exactly $18,450) Tipping Goat LLC
Lacrosse 26 $34.99 17 88% 510 $18k (exactly $17,845) Crosse Studios
Football Fictional World Simulator $14.99 24 75% 720 $11k (exactly $10,793) keigo0221
KURT - DER FUSSBALLMANAGER older $11.99 22 68% 660 $7.9k (exactly $7,913) Heart-Line, Greencode
Coastal Summit Sports: College Athletics 27 $9.99 12 25% 360 $3.6k (exactly $3,596) Coastal Summit Sports
GOAL3 $8.99 11 90% 330 $3.0k (exactly $2,967) thirteen
Ultimate Soccer $2.99 15 73% 450 $1.3k (exactly $1,346) Grands
Savage Arena: Dead Ball Zone $5.99 5 80% 150 $898 (exactly $898) Rage Software, Jordan Freeman Group
MINI Rugby: World Tour $11.99 2 100% 60 $719 (exactly $719) Chunky Games
Bomberball $9.99 1 100% 30 $300 (exactly $300) Texaur Digital
Rolling Football Player $3.99 2 100% 60 $239 (exactly $239) MFC STUDIO, KOSEI YASUDA

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.