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Should I ship a Female-Led Wargame?
Wargame + Female Protagonist
Only 14 developers shipped a Female-Led Wargame in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, ICBM: Escalation, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 26 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $2.4k, ×3.8 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $2.0k; 1 in 20 cleared $1.1M, ×1788 the market median. Revenue is up 95% on the market; 26 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $1.9k (exactly $1,915) |
|---|---|
| Median | $2.4k (exactly $2,398) |
| Top 25% | $19k (exactly $18,591) |
| Top 5% | $1.1M (exactly $1,122,826) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 14 |
| Released games | 52 |
| Announced | 26 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $3.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 95% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Wargame
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- Female Protagonist
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Wargame
- Price point
- $3.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 89% positive over 2,294 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $2.0k. 9 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 26 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Wargame with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Inventory ManagementFair
- + Local MultiplayerFair
- + NavalFair
- + TabletopFair
- + LogicFair
- + Real-Time with PausePoor odds
- + Real-TimePoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + StealthPoor odds
- + DiplomacyPoor odds
- + Colony SimPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
Comparable games
TROUBLESHOOTER: Abandoned Children 2020 · $7.1M 
Panzer Knights 2021 · $1.4M 
ICBM: Escalation 2024 · $1.1M 
Multi Turret Academy 2024 · EA · $480k 
👑 Idle Calibur 👑（选王之剑） 2022 · $298k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | TROUBLESHOOTER: Abandoned Children | older | $24.99 | 9,464 93% | 284k | $7.1M (exactly $7,095,161) | Dandylion |
| | Panzer Knights | older | $24.99 | 1,896 79% | 57k | $1.4M (exactly $1,421,431) | 樂磚Joy Brick |
| | ICBM: Escalation | $29.99 | 1,248 86% | 37k | $1.1M (exactly $1,122,826) | SoftWarWare | |
| | Multi Turret Academy | · EA older | $8.99 | 1,778 95% | 53k | $480k (exactly $479,527) | Yulia Games |
| | 👑 Idle Calibur 👑（选王之剑） | older | $7.99 | 1,242 85% | 37k | $298k (exactly $297,707) | 绝汪 |
 | Band of Defenders | older | $9.99 | 313 48% | 9.4k | $94k (exactly $93,806) | Alda Games |
 | TOHOTOPIA | · EA | $3.99 | 732 97% | 22k | $88k (exactly $87,620) | Remilia Command |
 | Uncharted Ocean | older | $4.99 | 563 70% | 17k | $84k (exactly $84,281) | HiRabbitgame |
 | Raid on Taihoku | older | $12.99 | 151 82% | 4.5k | $59k (exactly $58,845) | Mizoriot Creative Company LTD., Fun2 St… (Mizoriot Creative Company LTD., Fun2 Studio CO., LTD.) |
 | Bonaparte - A Mechanized Revolution | $24.99 | 72 68% | 2.2k | $54k (exactly $53,978) | Studio Imugi | |
 | Missile Command Delta | $19.99 | 31 83% | 930 | $19k (exactly $18,591) | 13AM Games, Mighty Yell | |
 | HITLER WAIFU 2 | · EA | $0.99 | 131 95% | 3.9k | $3.9k (exactly $3,891) | Who We Are Games |
 | Demon Princess Retreat | $3.99 | 21 85% | 630 | $2.5k (exactly $2,514) | OneShotStudio, SamAFEI | |
 | Star Ash Fleet | $9.99 | 8 50% | 240 | $2.4k (exactly $2,398) | Redonleft | |
 | League Of Tacticians: Path of Tarkan | $5.99 | 13 84% | 390 | $2.3k (exactly $2,336) | Oba Games | |
 | The Bunker | $2.99 | 22 90% | 660 | $2.0k (exactly $1,973) | Cyber752 | |
 | Femboy vs Nazis | · EA | $3.99 | 16 87% | 480 | $1.9k (exactly $1,915) | Hellim Studios |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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