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Should I ship a Demon Wargame?
Wargame + Demons
Only 5 developers shipped a Demon Wargame in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Yokai Art 2: Tales of the Nine-Tails, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 12 more are announced, ×12 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.
Only 1 developer shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $1.7k against a market of $630. 12 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $839 (exactly $839) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.7k (exactly $1,704) |
| Top 25% | $3.1k (exactly $3,144) |
| Top 5% | $94k (exactly $94,106) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 5 |
| Released games | 28 |
| Announced | 12 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $6.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 75% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Wargame
- Price point
- $6.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 80% positive over 35,597 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $840. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 12 games are announced against 1 developer who shipped in the last year, ×12 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Wargame with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Inventory ManagementFair
- + Local MultiplayerFair
- + NavalFair
- + TabletopFair
- + LogicFair
- + Real-Time with PausePoor odds
- + Real-TimePoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + StealthPoor odds
- + DiplomacyPoor odds
- + Colony SimPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Total War: WARHAMMER | older | $59.99 | 32,105 79% | 963k | $58M (exactly $57,779,368) | CREATIVE ASSEMBLY, Feral Interactive (L… (CREATIVE ASSEMBLY, Feral Interactive (Linux), Feral Interactive (Mac)) |
| | Solium Infernum | older | $39.99 | 1,571 88% | 47k | $1.9M (exactly $1,884,729) | League of Geeks |
| | Yokai Art: Night Parade of One Hundred Demons | older | $6.99 | 1,132 89% | 34k | $237k (exactly $237,380) | Secret Labo |
| | Yokai Art 2: Tales of the Nine-Tails | $9.99 | 314 75% | 9.4k | $94k (exactly $94,106) | Secret Labo | |
| | Rescue Operation | older | $3.99 | 253 87% | 7.6k | $30k (exactly $30,284) | Laush Dmitriy Sergeevich |
| | Hell | older | $29.99 | 30 43% | 900 | $27k (exactly $26,991) | Hunted Cow Studios |
| | 希望之城 The City Of Hope | older | $6.99 | 126 68% | 3.8k | $26k (exactly $26,422) | 家里蹲工作室 |
| | Cemetery Warrior V | older | $3.99 | 32 71% | 960 | $3.8k (exactly $3,830) | Falco Software |
| | Hidden Heir | $4.99 | 21 66% | 630 | $3.1k (exactly $3,144) | AYS CODE YAZILIM | |
| | Oil Invasion | older | $4.99 | 13 53% | 390 | $1.9k (exactly $1,946) | Ruskija game experience, Valkeala Softw… (Ruskija game experience, Valkeala Software) |
| | The Lost Painter | $2.99 | 19 100% | 570 | $1.7k (exactly $1,704) | Ravenhome Studios | |
| | BLEST | $6.99 | 4 0% | 120 | $839 (exactly $839) | Oedipe Games | |
| | Heroes of Higher Realms | $11.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | DreamMasters Studio |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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