Do I ship it?

GamesWargameWargame + Cyberpunk

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Cyberpunk Wargame?

Wargame + Cyberpunk

Only 12 developers shipped a Cyberpunk Wargame in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Globalism, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 27 more are announced, ×6.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $150 against a market of $630. 27 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 27 announced, ×6.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Wargame + Cyberpunk
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $180 → $897 → $2.4k → $479 → $750 → $120
Outcomes for Wargame + Cyberpunk: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $148 (exactly $148)
Top 25% $750 (exactly $750)
Top 5% $15k (exactly $15,295)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 35
Announced 27
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 50% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Wargame
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Cyberpunk
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Wargame
Price point
$5.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 7 games average 80% positive over 132 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $150, 1 in 4 over $750, 1 in 20 over $15k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 27 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Wargame with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Inventory ManagementFair21 devs · median $4.6k · 20 announced
  2. + Local MultiplayerFair28 devs · median $3.0k · 28 announced
  3. + NavalFair37 devs · median $2.4k · 37 announced
  4. + TabletopFair50 devs · median $1.1k · 57 announced
  5. + LogicFair20 devs · median $599 · 26 announced
  6. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds11 devs · median $37k · 24 announced
  7. + Real-TimePoor odds13 devs · median $37k · 17 announced
  8. + Co-opPoor odds43 devs · median $21k · 84 announced
  9. + StealthPoor odds10 devs · median $21k · 39 announced
  10. + DiplomacyPoor odds34 devs · median $17k · 59 announced
  11. + Colony SimPoor odds24 devs · median $16k · 55 announced
  12. + SandboxPoor odds82 devs · median $14k · 142 announced

All 147 pairs on the Wargame page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Combat Mission Black Sea older $59.99 422 81% 13k $759k (exactly $759,473) Battlefront
Nuke Them All older $9.99 76 82% 2.3k $23k (exactly $22,777) Indie PapaMike
Globalism · EA $29.99 17 52% 510 $15k (exactly $15,295) igelanium games
Future Breach 64 $2.99 105 86% 3.2k $9.4k (exactly $9,418) Yurii Nikshych
Make War older $5.99 47 51% 1.4k $8.4k (exactly $8,446) Creepy Brothers
Rage of Mechs · EA older $9.99 8 50% 240 $2.4k (exactly $2,398) Custom Software Development Limited
SteamCity Chronicles - Rise Of The Rose older $12.99 6 50% 180 $2.3k (exactly $2,338) FeelThere
Cyberless: Online older $9.99 6 83% 180 $1.8k (exactly $1,798) TeamCyberless
GALACTIC FIELD 《银河领域》 older $21.00 2 50% 60 $1.3k (exactly $1,260) Two Thousand and one entertainment stud… (Two Thousand and one entertainment studios)
Gorgeous and Fantastic Battle · EA older $8.99 4 75% 120 $1.1k (exactly $1,079) lucky_tree_dev
Nexus Wars · EA $24.99 1 0% 30 $750 (exactly $750) Ajion Arts
100 Wars $7.99 2 50% 60 $479 (exactly $479) 文艺复兴雪
Black Signal $4.99 1 0% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Matthew Lalande
Bulletproof Tank Adventure $0.99 5 100% 150 $148 (exactly $148) HAPPYTECH
Xenocide $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) Cryptomnesic
RETRO ROBOTS 2D $7.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Daniel Martínez Martínez-Pardo
Base Defense $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Taranau Aliaksei
SteelMechBattle $3.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) SteelGearWorks

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.