Games › Third-Person Shooter › Third-Person Shooter + Conspiracy
Should I ship a Conspiracy Third-Person Shooter?
Third-Person Shooter + Conspiracy
Only 9 developers shipped a Conspiracy Third-Person Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The Black Ice, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 33 more are announced, ×8.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.
Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $600 against a market of $1.5k. 33 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $178 (exactly $178) |
|---|---|
| Median | $599 (exactly $599) |
| Top 25% | $4.6k (exactly $4,554) |
| Top 5% | $66k (exactly $66,106) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 9 |
| Released games | 33 |
| Announced | 33 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 30% on the market, supply 20% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Third-Person Shooter
- effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
- Conspiracy
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- Third-Person Shooter
- Price point
- $4.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 83% positive over 6,439 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $180. All of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 33 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×8.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Third-Person Shooter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + RhythmStrong odds
- + WesternFair
- + CollectathonLong shot
- + Time ManagementLong shot
- + Walking SimulatorLong shot
- + Class-BasedPoor odds
- + Creature CollectorPoor odds
- + DinosaursPoor odds
- + MechsPoor odds
- + Alternate HistoryPoor odds
- + Level EditorPoor odds
- + CraftingPoor odds
Comparable games
Squirrel with a Gun 2024 · $1.9M 
Rollerdrome 2022 · $1.3M 
LIBERATED 2020 · $407k 
No Sun To Worship 2023 · $76k 
Unearthed: Trail of Ibn Battuta - Episode 1 - Gold Edition 2014 · $72k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Squirrel with a Gun | older | $19.99 | 3,112 86% | 93k | $1.9M (exactly $1,866,266) | Dee Dee Creations LLC |
| | Rollerdrome | older | $29.99 | 1,486 91% | 45k | $1.3M (exactly $1,336,954) | Roll7 |
| | LIBERATED | older | $19.99 | 679 77% | 20k | $407k (exactly $407,196) | Atomic Wolf, L.INC |
| | No Sun To Worship | older | $7.99 | 318 79% | 9.5k | $76k (exactly $76,225) | Antonio Freyre |
| | Unearthed: Trail of Ibn Battuta - Episode 1 - Gold Edition | older | $4.99 | 481 60% | 14k | $72k (exactly $72,006) | Semaphore |
 | The Black Ice | · EA | $14.99 | 147 77% | 4.4k | $66k (exactly $66,106) | RED CRAB GAMES, Antelus Games |
 | UNDETECTED | older | $14.99 | 63 71% | 1.9k | $28k (exactly $28,331) | Antonio Freyre |
 | CHEMISTS: Area of infection | · EA older | $14.99 | 60 63% | 1.8k | $27k (exactly $26,982) | RPAX, GPC |
 | Worlds | older | $9.99 | 71 85% | 2.1k | $21k (exactly $21,279) | Curious Planet |
 | Oxide Room 208 | $29.99 | 22 31% | 660 | $20k (exactly $19,793) | WildSphere | |
 | Climber Girl | $7.99 | 19 36% | 570 | $4.6k (exactly $4,554) | AlterLab Development | |
 | Chicken Strike®: Cluck Ops™ | $1.99 | 14 42% | 420 | $836 (exactly $836) | Bamboléo Games | |
 | Prepare The Past | $4.99 | 4 100% | 120 | $599 (exactly $599) | Soul Engine Studio LLC | |
 | Cliché Horror 2000s: The Witch’s Lair | $2.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $269 (exactly $269) | High Room Game studio | |
 | Trump is in trouble | $0.99 | 6 83% | 180 | $178 (exactly $178) | SeedWall | |
 | Ethereal Abyss | $4.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $150 (exactly $150) | Playton Games | |
 | Project Hash | $1.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $60 (exactly $60) | 67ormsg272 |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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