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Should I ship a Turn-Based Tactics Colony Sim?
Colony Sim + Turn-Based Tactics
Only 18 developers shipped a Turn-Based Tactics Colony Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Craftlings, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 42 more are announced, ×4.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $2.1k, ×3.3 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $630; 1 in 20 cleared $180k, ×297 the market median. Revenue is up 800% on the market; 42 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $629 (exactly $629) |
|---|---|
| Median | $2.1k (exactly $2,090) |
| Top 25% | $55k (exactly $54,891) |
| Top 5% | $187k (exactly $186,507) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 18 |
| Released games | 48 |
| Announced | 42 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 800% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Colony Sim
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Turn-Based Tactics
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Colony Sim, Turn-Based Tactics; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Resource Management, City Builder
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Colorful
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 73% positive over 1,501 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $630. 8 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 42 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.7 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Colony Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Female ProtagonistFair
- + ArcadeLong shot
- + 4XPoor odds
- + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + Real-Time with PausePoor odds
- + HistoricalPoor odds
- + Alternate HistoryPoor odds
- + Open WorldPoor odds
- + Action RPGPoor odds
- + Post-apocalypticPoor odds
- + MarsPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Screeps: World | older | $19.99 | 1,934 86% | 58k | $1.2M (exactly $1,159,820) | Screeps, LLC |
| | Pan'orama | older | $13.99 | 1,141 89% | 34k | $479k (exactly $478,878) | Chicken Launcher |
| | Craftlings | $19.99 | 311 86% | 9.3k | $187k (exactly $186,507) | ARIANO Games GmbH | |
| | Kingdom's Deck | $9.99 | 495 72% | 15k | $148k (exactly $148,352) | Ivan Aco | |
| | Shelter Manager | older | $14.99 | 251 62% | 7.5k | $113k (exactly $112,875) | Hamsters Gaming |
| | These Doomed Isles | $14.99 | 180 66% | 5.4k | $81k (exactly $80,946) | Triplevision Games Limited | |
| | Imperial Ambitions | $19.99 | 101 81% | 3.0k | $61k (exactly $60,570) | aoiti | |
| | Song's Fantasy | $7.99 | 229 55% | 6.9k | $55k (exactly $54,891) | 南十字座工作室 | |
| | Edge Islands | · EA | $17.99 | 93 74% | 2.8k | $50k (exactly $50,192) | LS Games |
| | The Hundred Year Kingdom | older | $12.99 | 79 77% | 2.4k | $31k (exactly $30,786) | kaeru-san games |
| | Drill Rift | $14.99 | 24 75% | 720 | $11k (exactly $10,793) | Steam Veil Games | |
| | CastleOn | $9.20 | 24 91% | 720 | $6.6k (exactly $6,624) | Lord Castleon | |
| | otters and stones | $1.99 | 35 91% | 1.1k | $2.1k (exactly $2,090) | otterhands | |
| | 拓荒纪元 Age of Frontier | $4.99 | 9 88% | 270 | $1.3k (exactly $1,347) | TriCat Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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