Games › Action RPG › Action RPG + Colony Sim
Should I ship a Colony Sim Action RPG?
Action RPG + Colony Sim
Only 11 developers shipped a Colony Sim Action RPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Pax Autocratica, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 35 more are announced, ×5.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $58k, ×39 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $7.2k; 1 in 20 cleared $2.8M, ×1923 the market median. Revenue is down 25% on the market; 35 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $7.2k (exactly $7,193) |
|---|---|
| Median | $58k (exactly $58,477) |
| Top 25% | $233k (exactly $233,283) |
| Top 5% | $2.9M (exactly $2,880,839) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 11 |
| Released games | 31 |
| Announced | 35 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $19.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 25% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Action RPG
- effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
- Colony Sim
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- Action RPG, Colony Sim
- Price point
- $19.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 83% positive over 5,017 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $7.2k. 7 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 35 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Action RPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + NavalFair
- + Local Co-OpFair
- + WesternFair
- + Local MultiplayerFair
- + Walking SimulatorLong shot
- + WuxiaPoor odds
- + Character Action GamePoor odds
- + MechsPoor odds
- + Dating SimPoor odds
- + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds
- + Bullet HeavenPoor odds
- + LGBTQ+Poor odds
Comparable games
ASKA 2024 · EA · $7.8M 
Pax Autocratica 2026 · EA · $2.9M 
Noble Legacy 2025 · EA · $558k 
First Dwarf 2024 · EA · $235k 
Regions of Ruin: Runegate 2026 · $233k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | ASKA | · EA older | $24.99 | 10,457 79% | 314k | $7.8M (exactly $7,839,613) | Sand Sailor Studio |
| | Pax Autocratica | · EA | $29.99 | 3,202 91% | 96k | $2.9M (exactly $2,880,839) | Multiverse |
| | Noble Legacy | · EA | $24.99 | 744 70% | 22k | $558k (exactly $557,777) | Ultimus Rex LLC |
| | First Dwarf | · EA older | $24.99 | 314 76% | 9.4k | $235k (exactly $235,406) | Star Drifters |
| | Regions of Ruin: Runegate | $19.99 | 389 84% | 12k | $233k (exactly $233,283) | Gameclaw Studio | |
 | SeaCret 1 | · EA | $39.99 | 99 61% | 3.0k | $119k (exactly $118,770) | Dalas |
 | Fera: The Sundered Tribes | · EA | $9.99 | 394 57% | 12k | $118k (exactly $118,082) | Massive Damage, Inc. |
 | Surviving Mars: Pioneer | $24.99 | 78 83% | 2.3k | $58k (exactly $58,477) | Bolverk Games | |
 | Duck Life 9: The Flock | older | $9.99 | 190 83% | 5.7k | $57k (exactly $56,943) | Wix Games |
 | Dungeons & Kingdoms | · EA | $19.99 | 80 40% | 2.4k | $48k (exactly $47,976) | Uncle Grouch Gaming |
 | Sand: A Superfluous Game | $9.99 | 24 83% | 720 | $7.2k (exactly $7,193) | Voided Pixels Studio | |
 | Cockroach Simulation | $6.99 | 3 0% | 90 | $629 (exactly $629) | WIZWIN | |
 | WorldShadow | $4.99 | 4 50% | 120 | $599 (exactly $599) | Jotar, Jotar |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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