Do I ship it?

Games › Colony Sim › Colony Sim + Point & Click

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Point & Click Colony Sim?

Colony Sim + Point & Click

Of 20 developers who shipped a Point & Click Colony Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 29 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $540, ×0.9 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $38k, ×62 the market median. Revenue is up 150% on the market; 29 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 150% on the market, 29 announced, ×2.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Colony Sim + Point & Click
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 20
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $449 → $629 → $807 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Colony Sim + Point & Click: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 20
Bottom 30% $299 (exactly $299)
Median $538 (exactly $538)
Top 25% $5.0k (exactly $5,027)
Top 5% $39k (exactly $38,674)
Developers, 2 yr 20
Released games 37
Announced 29
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 150% on the market, supply 135% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 3%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Colony Sim
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Point & Click
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Colony Sim, Point & Click; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Idler, Incremental, Simulation
Price point
$3.99 typical · top 25% priced $6.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics, Relaxing
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $6.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.

The top 10 games average 73% positive over 420 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $540, 1 in 4 over $5.0k, 1 in 20 over $38k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. All of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 29 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Colony Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Female ProtagonistFair7 devs · median $4.6k · 11 announced
  2. + ArcadeLong shot13 devs · median $359 · 19 announced
  3. + 4XPoor odds23 devs · median $314k · 77 announced
  4. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds11 devs · median $170k · 25 announced
  5. + Co-opPoor odds13 devs · median $73k · 54 announced
  6. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds11 devs · median $73k · 21 announced
  7. + HistoricalPoor odds42 devs · median $59k · 75 announced
  8. + Alternate HistoryPoor odds16 devs · median $59k · 43 announced
  9. + Open WorldPoor odds78 devs · median $58k · 168 announced
  10. + Action RPGPoor odds11 devs · median $58k · 35 announced
  11. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds48 devs · median $54k · 101 announced
  12. + MarsPoor odds13 devs · median $50k · 31 announced

All 93 pairs on the Colony Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Factory Town Idle 2024 · $184k Bunny Park 2020 · $104k Organs Please 2023 · $85k Lunar Ascendant 2026 · $39k Cruise Ship Manager 2023 · $36k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Factory Town Idle older $4.99 1,232 90% 37k $184k (exactly $184,430) Erik Asmussen
Bunny Park older $4.99 692 90% 21k $104k (exactly $103,592) Cozy Bee Games
Organs Please older $13.99 202 82% 6.1k $85k (exactly $84,779) TECHHOME
Lunar Ascendant $14.99 86 44% 2.6k $39k (exactly $38,674) Darts Games
Cruise Ship Manager older $9.99 119 38% 3.6k $36k (exactly $35,664) Image Power S.A.
Simultree $6.99 145 86% 4.4k $30k (exactly $30,406) PIPAPOU
Lost Artifacts: Frozen Queen older $14.99 37 29% 1.1k $17k (exactly $16,639) GameOn Production
Idle Catfarmia older $7.65 63 74% 1.9k $14k (exactly $14,458) RainbowStudio
Feed the Greed $2.99 68 73% 2.0k $6.1k (exactly $6,100) Elifam
MOAI 7: Mystery Coast older $8.99 22 77% 660 $5.9k (exactly $5,933) Gamefjord
Cradle of the Dark Brood $4.99 38 78% 1.1k $5.7k (exactly $5,689) RyuseGames
Click to Civ $3.99 42 78% 1.3k $5.0k (exactly $5,027) Phantom Realm
Super Ant Art Tycoon $8.99 12 83% 360 $3.2k (exactly $3,236) Wix Games
Decofarm $2.99 11 72% 330 $987 (exactly $987) Battle Koi
Restoration: Chronicles of Survival $2.99 9 66% 270 $807 (exactly $807) ALGaming
My Cozy Aquarium $6.99 3 33% 90 $629 (exactly $629) RedDeer.Games
IDLE PET UFO $2.99 6 100% 180 $538 (exactly $538) 電脳鈴木組

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.