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Should I ship a Creature Collector Colony Sim?
Colony Sim + Creature Collector
Only 17 developers shipped a Creature Collector Colony Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Anomaly President, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 48 more are announced, ×6.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $2.4k, ×3.8 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $540; 1 in 20 cleared $610k, ×985 the market median. Revenue is down 70% on the market; 48 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $538 (exactly $538) |
|---|---|
| Median | $2.4k (exactly $2,399) |
| Top 25% | $3.5k (exactly $3,506) |
| Top 5% | $619k (exactly $618,787) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 17 |
| Released games | 39 |
| Announced | 48 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $8.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply 10% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Colony Sim
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Creature Collector
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Colony Sim, Creature Collector; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Base Building, Building, City Builder
- Price point
- $8.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Colorful, Cute, Cozy
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.
The top 10 games average 89% positive over 2,666 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $540. 7 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 48 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Colony Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Female ProtagonistFair
- + ArcadeLong shot
- + 4XPoor odds
- + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + Real-Time with PausePoor odds
- + HistoricalPoor odds
- + Alternate HistoryPoor odds
- + Open WorldPoor odds
- + Action RPGPoor odds
- + Post-apocalypticPoor odds
- + MarsPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Anomaly President | · EA | $14.99 | 1,376 91% | 41k | $619k (exactly $618,787) | Phew Phew Games |
| | My Little Life | $5.99 | 1,043 89% | 31k | $187k (exactly $187,427) | 9FingerGames | |
| | Unholy Heights | older | $3.99 | 1,129 90% | 34k | $135k (exactly $135,141) | Petit Depotto |
| | Time to Morp | $19.99 | 178 79% | 5.3k | $107k (exactly $106,747) | Team HalfBeard | |
| | Duck Life 9: The Flock | older | $9.99 | 190 83% | 5.7k | $57k (exactly $56,943) | Wix Games |
| | Beastie Bay DX | older | $8.99 | 98 70% | 2.9k | $26k (exactly $26,431) | Kairosoft Co.,Ltd |
| | Cellings | · EA older | $7.99 | 37 94% | 1.1k | $8.9k (exactly $8,869) | Struct9 |
| | Search of Galaxy | · EA older | $9.99 | 25 52% | 750 | $7.5k (exactly $7,492) | DRAGONnoid |
| | Dinosaur Simulator | older | $8.99 | 18 50% | 540 | $4.9k (exactly $4,855) | Imperian Online - As |
| | The EverFloating Island | $19.99 | 6 33% | 180 | $3.6k (exactly $3,598) | GU GAMES | |
| | Dragon Sprouts | $8.99 | 13 38% | 390 | $3.5k (exactly $3,506) | Cozy Fox Games | |
| | License To Clone | · EA | $17.99 | 6 83% | 180 | $3.2k (exactly $3,238) | Jam Donut Games |
| | Super Ant Art Tycoon | $8.99 | 12 83% | 360 | $3.2k (exactly $3,236) | Wix Games | |
| | BugLab Simulator | · EA | $6.99 | 12 75% | 360 | $2.5k (exactly $2,516) | ElykraGames |
| | Mission: Rift seeker | $19.99 | 4 75% | 120 | $2.4k (exactly $2,399) | OneManGames | |
| | Seedrun | $4.99 | 16 75% | 480 | $2.4k (exactly $2,395) | Wardius |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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