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Should I ship a Choose Your Own Adventure Colony Sim?
Colony Sim + Choose Your Own Adventure
Only 18 developers shipped a Choose Your Own Adventure Colony Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Celestial Empire, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 33 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $4.8k, ×7.6 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $2.0k; 1 in 20 cleared $420k, ×677 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 33 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $1.9k (exactly $1,946) |
|---|---|
| Median | $4.8k (exactly $4,795) |
| Top 25% | $16k (exactly $16,060) |
| Top 5% | $425k (exactly $425,187) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 18 |
| Released games | 56 |
| Announced | 33 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $14.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 700% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Colony Sim
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Choose Your Own Adventure
- effort 2 / 10 · high · branching text with light state
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Colony Sim, Choose Your Own Adventure; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Strategy, Choices Matter
- Price point
- $14.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $14.99.
The top 10 games average 77% positive over 1,327 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $2.0k. 33 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Colony Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Female ProtagonistFair
- + ArcadeLong shot
- + 4XPoor odds
- + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + Real-Time with PausePoor odds
- + HistoricalPoor odds
- + Alternate HistoryPoor odds
- + Open WorldPoor odds
- + Action RPGPoor odds
- + Post-apocalypticPoor odds
- + MarsPoor odds
Comparable games
Wild West Legacy 2024 · $1.4M 
Celestial Empire 2025 · EA · $425k 
Korea Dynasty (조선메타실록) 2023 · EA · $192k 
SCP Strategy 2022 · $117k 
Deadwater Saloon 2022 · $112k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Wild West Legacy | older | $26.99 | 1,706 39% | 51k | $1.4M (exactly $1,381,348) | Moon Punch Studio |
| | Celestial Empire | · EA | $19.99 | 709 89% | 21k | $425k (exactly $425,187) | President Studio |
| | Korea Dynasty (조선메타실록) | · EA older | $23.99 | 267 72% | 8.0k | $192k (exactly $192,160) | Happy Daram Inc. |
| | SCP Strategy | older | $6.99 | 556 78% | 17k | $117k (exactly $116,593) | LUXO Interactive |
| | Deadwater Saloon | older | $19.99 | 186 63% | 5.6k | $112k (exactly $111,544) | Tanglefoot Games |
 | Organs Please | older | $13.99 | 202 82% | 6.1k | $85k (exactly $84,779) | TECHHOME |
 | Dead Reckoning: The Long Drift | · EA | $14.99 | 174 83% | 5.2k | $78k (exactly $78,248) | Garan Lorn |
 | The Manga Works | older | $8.99 | 253 67% | 7.6k | $68k (exactly $68,234) | Kairosoft Co.,Ltd |
 | Colonize | $9.99 | 192 39% | 5.8k | $58k (exactly $57,542) | Rembrosoft | |
 | Toy Trains | older | $14.99 | 89 95% | 2.7k | $40k (exactly $40,023) | Something Random |
 | Lunar Ascendant | $14.99 | 86 44% | 2.6k | $39k (exactly $38,674) | Darts Games | |
 | Secret Sexy Streamer | $7.99 | 67 88% | 2.0k | $16k (exactly $16,060) | Fantasy Games | |
 | Thieves Of Dingirra | $24.99 | 11 81% | 330 | $8.2k (exactly $8,247) | Winter Wolves | |
 | Seven Seas: Adventures | · EA | $24.99 | 8 25% | 240 | $6.0k (exactly $5,998) | Concept Games |
 | Cloudrift Islands | $3.99 | 43 76% | 1.3k | $5.1k (exactly $5,147) | Inspite, W-I-W | |
 | Ages of Cataria | · EA | $9.99 | 16 68% | 480 | $4.8k (exactly $4,795) | Third Pie Studios |
 | Primage | · EA | $6.99 | 21 76% | 630 | $4.4k (exactly $4,404) | Fadzior |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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