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Should I ship a Card Battler Wargame?
Wargame + Card Battler
Only 17 developers shipped a paid Card Battler Wargame in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Flowers and Deities, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 4 in 10 of the games here are free to play and sit outside these figures. 43 more are announced, ×3.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $720, ×1.1 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120; 1 in 20 cleared $100k, ×164 the market median. Revenue is up 695% on the market; 43 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $120 (exactly $120) |
|---|---|
| Median | $719 (exactly $719) |
| Top 25% | $11k (exactly $10,522) |
| Top 5% | $103k (exactly $103,270) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 17 |
| Released games | 50 |
| Announced | 43 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 695% on the market, supply 140% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 40%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Wargame
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- Card Battler
- effort 3 / 10 · high · card rules plus simple encounter logic
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Wargame, Card Battler; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Board Game, Deckbuilding
- Price point
- $7.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 85% positive over 674 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $120. All of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 43 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.6 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Wargame with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Inventory ManagementFair
- + Local MultiplayerFair
- + NavalFair
- + TabletopFair
- + LogicFair
- + Real-Time with PausePoor odds
- + Real-TimePoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + StealthPoor odds
- + DiplomacyPoor odds
- + Colony SimPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
Comparable games
Warhammer Underworlds - Shadespire Edition (Classic) 2020 · $953k 
Unmatched: Digital Edition 2023 · $189k 
Flowers and Deities 2026 · $103k 
Divine's Howl 2025 · $51k 
Rainbow Legends 2026 · $35k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Warhammer Underworlds - Shadespire Edition (Classic) | older | $29.99 | 1,059 70% | 32k | $953k (exactly $952,782) | Steel Sky Productions, Tin Man Games |
| | Unmatched: Digital Edition | older | $22.99 | 274 74% | 8.2k | $189k (exactly $188,978) | Dire Wolf |
| | Flowers and Deities | $12.99 | 265 90% | 8.0k | $103k (exactly $103,270) | Chill Winter Studio | |
| | Divine's Howl | $9.99 | 169 89% | 5.1k | $51k (exactly $50,649) | Sense13 Studio | |
| | Rainbow Legends | $12.99 | 90 74% | 2.7k | $35k (exactly $35,073) | Unpixel Cloud Cedar Studio | |
 | Vestiges: Fallen Tribes | $24.99 | 36 80% | 1.1k | $27k (exactly $26,989) | WanadevStudio | |
 | SGS Battle For: Stalingrad | older | $19.99 | 38 84% | 1.1k | $23k (exactly $22,789) | Strategy Game Studio |
 | SGS Afrika Korps: Tunisia | older | $24.99 | 15 80% | 450 | $11k (exactly $11,246) | Strategy Game Studio |
 | Boardlike | · EA | $12.99 | 27 70% | 810 | $11k (exactly $10,522) | Bozz |
 | Moonlight Chess | $7.99 | 35 77% | 1.1k | $8.4k (exactly $8,390) | MyDreamForever | |
 | Square Wars | · EA | $4.99 | 43 79% | 1.3k | $6.4k (exactly $6,437) | Gökhan Birçek |
 | Battle Medal: Super Auto Chess Swarm War | $7.99 | 5 80% | 150 | $1.2k (exactly $1,198) | SOT烈 | |
 | Ace of Space | $7.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $719 (exactly $719) | BigChunkyGames | |
 | Mech EVO | $9.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $300 (exactly $300) | Benedict King |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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