Games › Wargame › Wargame + Bullet Hell
Should I ship a Bullet Hell Wargame?
Wargame + Bullet Hell
Of 26 developers who shipped a Bullet Hell Wargame in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 32 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $210 in the last 2 years and $240 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 13 developers shipped in the last year and 32 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $59 (exactly $59) |
|---|---|
| Median | $210 (exactly $210) |
| Top 25% | $2.1k (exactly $2,096) |
| Top 5% | $21k (exactly $21,333) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 26 |
| Released games | 90 |
| Announced | 32 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 190% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Wargame
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- Bullet Hell
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Wargame, Bullet Hell; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Shoot 'Em Up, Shooter
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $7.99 or above
- Art
- 3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, 3D, Cute
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $7.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 77% positive over 533 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $59. 9 in 10 of the 16 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 32 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Wargame with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Inventory ManagementFair
- + Local MultiplayerFair
- + NavalFair
- + TabletopFair
- + LogicFair
- + Real-Time with PausePoor odds
- + Real-TimePoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + StealthPoor odds
- + DiplomacyPoor odds
- + Colony SimPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Beach Defense: Zombie Invasion | $3.99 | 197 81% | 5.9k | $24k (exactly $23,581) | Only Fun Games | |
| | Bees vs Zombees | $7.99 | 89 92% | 2.7k | $21k (exactly $21,333) | DeadPixel | |
| | Sexy Iron Maidens | $4.99 | 123 69% | 3.7k | $18k (exactly $18,413) | Earl Marx | |
| | Beach Invasion 1915-Gallipoli | $7.99 | 73 71% | 2.2k | $17k (exactly $17,498) | AIx2 Games | |
| | Deputinization | older | $5.97 | 45 97% | 1.4k | $8.1k (exactly $8,060) | Myttsi Zabav |
| | Struggle Offensive | · EA older | $1.99 | 132 63% | 4.0k | $7.9k (exactly $7,880) | OXO Games |
| | SKYRAID | · EA older | $19.99 | 10 100% | 300 | $6.0k (exactly $5,997) | Zaidos Games |
| | Eagles of World War 2 | $9.99 | 15 86% | 450 | $4.5k (exactly $4,496) | Paul Connor | |
| | Nemesis: Race Against The Pandemic | older | $4.99 | 30 53% | 900 | $4.5k (exactly $4,491) | Arcade Theory |
| | RIP | · EA older | $9.99 | 13 46% | 390 | $3.9k (exactly $3,896) | INVERTED SOULS |
| | Starfield Battlegrounds | $6.99 | 13 69% | 390 | $2.7k (exactly $2,726) | 谭浩翔 | |
| | Strike Mission | $4.99 | 14 42% | 420 | $2.1k (exactly $2,096) | Cube Games | |
| | Battle Medal: Super Auto Chess Swarm War | $7.99 | 5 80% | 150 | $1.2k (exactly $1,198) | SOT烈 | |
| | Meteor Expedition | · EA | $7.99 | 2 50% | 60 | $479 (exactly $479) | GQ |
| | The Black Siege | $4.99 | 2 0% | 60 | $299 (exactly $299) | Fishbump Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.