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Should I ship a Boomer Shooter Open World game?
Open World + Boomer Shooter
Only 14 developers shipped a Boomer Shooter Open World game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, FUMES, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 14 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.7k, ×1.1 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $1.2M, ×845 the market median. Revenue is down 65% on the market; 14 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $150 (exactly $150) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.7k (exactly $1,709) |
| Top 25% | $16k (exactly $15,949) |
| Top 5% | $1.3M (exactly $1,266,355) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 14 |
| Released games | 27 |
| Announced | 14 |
| Effort | 8 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $13.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 65% on the market, supply 25% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Open World
- effort 8 / 10 · low · effort 8 sits in the low band
- Boomer Shooter
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 8 / 10 · online systems, open world
- Systems
- Open World, Boomer Shooter
- Price point
- $13.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 93% positive over 3,064 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $150. 9 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 14 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Open World with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + WuxiaFair
- + 4 Player LocalFair
- + VampiresFair
- + TrainsFair
- + FMVFair
- + GothicFair
- + MarsFair
- + TanksFair
- + FaithLong shot
- + DiplomacyPoor odds
- + Real-Time with PausePoor odds
- + Co-op CampaignPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Serious Sam 4 | older | $39.99 | 15,612 83% | 468k | $19M (exactly $18,729,716) | Croteam |
| | I Am Your Beast | older | $19.99 | 5,275 97% | 158k | $3.2M (exactly $3,163,417) | Strange Scaffold |
| | FUMES | · EA | $14.99 | 2,816 95% | 84k | $1.3M (exactly $1,266,355) | FUMES team |
| | Zombie Driver HD | older | $9.99 | 2,770 84% | 83k | $830k (exactly $830,169) | Exor Studios |
| | Strife: Veteran Edition | older | $9.99 | 475 90% | 14k | $142k (exactly $142,358) | Rogue Entertainment |
| | Second Sun | $19.99 | 115 69% | 3.5k | $69k (exactly $68,966) | Grey Wolf Entertainment | |
| | Star Explorers | older | $4.99 | 245 82% | 7.4k | $37k (exactly $36,676) | Schmidt Workshops |
| | CyberTaxi: Lunatic Nights | · EA | $13.99 | 68 55% | 2.0k | $29k (exactly $28,540) | Hed Media Games |
| | The Explorator | · EA | $13.99 | 38 73% | 1.1k | $16k (exactly $15,949) | Remnant games studio |
| | TAGLINE | older | $9.99 | 52 92% | 1.6k | $16k (exactly $15,584) | NOTH |
| | Escape From Infection Zone | $39.99 | 6 100% | 180 | $7.2k (exactly $7,198) | Funbang | |
| | Night of the Dead Simulator | $7.99 | 12 50% | 360 | $2.9k (exactly $2,876) | Unknown People Lab | |
| | Under Destruction | · EA | $18.99 | 3 66% | 90 | $1.7k (exactly $1,709) | Quantum Dynamics |
| | Operation Obliteration 2 | $14.99 | 3 0% | 90 | $1.3k (exactly $1,349) | Oblit Gamewerks | |
| | Enemy Territory Terrorists Takedown | $2.99 | 2 50% | 60 | $179 (exactly $179) | ismail özel | |
| | Doom Drive | $4.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $150 (exactly $150) | Berk Kalfa |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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