Do I ship it?

GamesOpen WorldOpen World + Board Game

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Board Game Open World game?

Open World + Board Game

Only 6 developers shipped a Board Game Open World game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Hero Quest - God of Chaos, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 14 more are announced, ×4.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 8 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $3.2k against a market of $1.5k. 14 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 2.2 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 14 announced, ×4.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Open World + Board Game
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 6

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Open World + Board Game: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 6
Bottom 30% $148 (exactly $148)
Median $3.2k (exactly $3,236)
Top 25% $4.0k (exactly $4,042)
Top 5% $9.6k (exactly $9,595)
Developers, 2 yr 6
Released games 31
Announced 14
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 26%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Open World
effort 8 / 10 · low · effort 8 sits in the low band
Board Game
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Open World, Board Game
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 47,330 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $3.2k, 1 in 4 over $4.0k, 1 in 20 over $9.5k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 14 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Open World with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + WuxiaFair12 devs · median $634k · 17 announced
  2. + 4 Player LocalFair14 devs · median $82k · 20 announced
  3. + VampiresFair15 devs · median $23k · 21 announced
  4. + TrainsFair27 devs · median $21k · 25 announced
  5. + FMVFair11 devs · median $14k · 13 announced
  6. + GothicFair25 devs · median $5.4k · 32 announced
  7. + MarsFair12 devs · median $2.2k · 15 announced
  8. + TanksFair9 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  9. + FaithLong shot11 devs · median $716 · 14 announced
  10. + DiplomacyPoor odds13 devs · median $1.8M · 38 announced
  11. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds8 devs · median $767k · 11 announced
  12. + Co-op CampaignPoor odds17 devs · median $267k · 65 announced

All 240 pairs on the Open World page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
For The King older $19.99 31,038 87% 931k $19M (exactly $18,613,489) IronOak Games
For The King II older $24.99 12,708 71% 381k $9.5M (exactly $9,527,188) IronOak Games
Just Die Already older $14.99 2,791 84% 84k $1.3M (exactly $1,255,113) DoubleMoose Games
FreeCell Quest older $9.99 278 81% 8.3k $83k (exactly $83,317) Legend Studio
DAGURI: Gambling Apocalypse older $2.99 207 93% 6.2k $19k (exactly $18,568) DakeCraft
The Chronicles of Quiver Dick older $2.99 173 93% 5.2k $16k (exactly $15,518) Crankage Games
逆乱封神之武王伐纣 older $4.99 80 91% 2.4k $12k (exactly $11,976) 赚大钱工作室
Hero Quest - God of Chaos · EA $19.99 16 93% 480 $9.6k (exactly $9,595) Future Intellect LLC
Chess, Texas $4.99 27 81% 810 $4.0k (exactly $4,042) Studio Apollo
Trailmarks $8.99 12 91% 360 $3.2k (exactly $3,236) Trailmarks HQ
Tinker-World: Arrival at Kedhreon $6.99 10 90% 300 $2.1k (exactly $2,097) From The Cave, TibiSoft
Warrior's Dilemma $0.99 5 80% 150 $148 (exactly $148) Happy Hippocampus
Crafting in Berxley $1.99 1 0% 30 $60 (exactly $60) Quietly Packed Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.