Do I ship it?

GamesWargameWargame + Beat 'em up

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Beat 'em up Wargame?

Wargame + Beat 'em up

Only 6 developers shipped a Beat 'em up Wargame in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, OutBreak: The Last Survivor, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 8 more are announced, ×2.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $120 against a market of $630. 8 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 53560% on the market, 8 announced, ×2.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Wargame + Beat 'em up
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 6

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Wargame + Beat 'em up: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 6
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $119 (exactly $119)
Top 25% $299 (exactly $299)
Top 5% $599 (exactly $599)
Developers, 2 yr 6
Released games 28
Announced 8
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Wargame
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Beat 'em up
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Wargame, Beat 'em up
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $11.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 62% positive over 7,788 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $120, 1 in 4 over $290, 1 in 20 over $590.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 8 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Wargame with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Inventory ManagementFair21 devs · median $4.6k · 20 announced
  2. + Local MultiplayerFair28 devs · median $3.0k · 28 announced
  3. + NavalFair37 devs · median $2.4k · 37 announced
  4. + TabletopFair50 devs · median $1.1k · 57 announced
  5. + LogicFair20 devs · median $599 · 26 announced
  6. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds11 devs · median $37k · 24 announced
  7. + Real-TimePoor odds13 devs · median $37k · 17 announced
  8. + Co-opPoor odds43 devs · median $21k · 84 announced
  9. + StealthPoor odds10 devs · median $21k · 39 announced
  10. + DiplomacyPoor odds34 devs · median $17k · 59 announced
  11. + Colony SimPoor odds24 devs · median $16k · 55 announced
  12. + SandboxPoor odds82 devs · median $14k · 142 announced

All 147 pairs on the Wargame page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Three Kingdoms Zhao Yun older $19.99 3,829 66% 115k $2.3M (exactly $2,296,251) ZUIJIANGYUE Game
Endorphin Vice · EA older $9.99 3,436 56% 103k $1.0M (exactly $1,029,769) Endorphin Studios
Firelight Fantasy: Force Energy older $11.99 140 77% 4.2k $50k (exactly $50,358) Quacky Games
Control Craft 2 older $4.99 274 72% 8.2k $41k (exactly $41,018) Cristian Manolachi, Atomic Fabrik
Ninja Lexx older $5.99 20 75% 600 $3.6k (exactly $3,594) Aleksandr Kolesnyk
X-Force Under Attack older $5.99 20 100% 600 $3.6k (exactly $3,594) Cube Games
DYNABLASTER older $19.99 5 80% 150 $3.0k (exactly $2,998) BBG Entertainment GmbH
Air defenders older $9.99 10 100% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,997) Serhii Khramov, Dmytro Pohrebnyi, Illia… (Serhii Khramov, Dmytro Pohrebnyi, Illia Ustenko)
Hentai Angel: Smite the Nazis older $1.99 42 78% 1.3k $2.5k (exactly $2,507) DarkLight Studio
Revenge on the Streets 3 older $4.99 12 91% 360 $1.8k (exactly $1,796) Del_Player
OutBreak: The Last Survivor $9.99 2 0% 60 $599 (exactly $599) Briant Entertainment
Humans Vs Orcs $4.99 2 0% 60 $299 (exactly $299) ShakyHand
BlackLaceAssassins $1.99 2 50% 60 $119 (exactly $119) VirtualDelightsPro
Tank Battle Salvo $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) CANGYU CONCEPT
Poligons $1.00 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Vespa Nera
Bodacious Bashup $5.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Sliced Enigma

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.