Do I ship it?

GamesOpen WorldOpen World + Animals

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Animal Open World game?

Open World + Animals

Only 18 developers shipped an Animal Open World game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, WolfQuest: Anniversary Edition, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 55 more are announced, ×4.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $5.7k, ×3.8 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $750; 1 in 20 cleared $10M, ×6914 the market median. Revenue is down 95% on the market; 55 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.8 times the market baseline, revenue down 95% on the market, 55 announced, ×4.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Open World + Animals
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 18
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $130k → $7.2k → $1.9k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Open World + Animals: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 18
Bottom 30% $750 (exactly $750)
Median $5.7k (exactly $5,689)
Top 25% $69k (exactly $68,703)
Top 5% $10M (exactly $10,356,447)
Developers, 2 yr 18
Released games 53
Announced 55
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $11.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Open World
effort 8 / 10 · low · effort 8 sits in the low band
Animals
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Open World; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Exploration, Adventure, Life Sim
Price point
$11.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Family Friendly, Realistic
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $11.99.

The top 10 games average 95% positive over 12,989 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $750, median $5.7k, 1 in 4 over $68k, 1 in 20 over $10M.

3 in 10 developers made under $750. 3 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 55 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Open World with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + WuxiaFair12 devs · median $634k · 17 announced
  2. + 4 Player LocalFair14 devs · median $82k · 20 announced
  3. + VampiresFair15 devs · median $23k · 21 announced
  4. + TrainsFair27 devs · median $21k · 25 announced
  5. + FMVFair11 devs · median $14k · 13 announced
  6. + GothicFair25 devs · median $5.4k · 32 announced
  7. + MarsFair12 devs · median $2.2k · 15 announced
  8. + TanksFair9 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  9. + FaithLong shot11 devs · median $716 · 14 announced
  10. + DiplomacyPoor odds13 devs · median $1.8M · 38 announced
  11. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds8 devs · median $767k · 11 announced
  12. + Co-op CampaignPoor odds17 devs · median $267k · 65 announced

All 240 pairs on the Open World page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Planet Zoo older $44.99 81,191 90% 2.4M $110M (exactly $109,583,493) Frontier Developments
Ranch Simulator: Build, Hunt, Farm older $24.99 40,862 79% 1.2M $31M (exactly $30,634,241) Toxic Dog
WolfQuest: Anniversary Edition $29.99 11,511 97% 345k $10M (exactly $10,356,447) eduweb
Prehistoric Kingdom · EA older $29.99 5,640 90% 169k $5.1M (exactly $5,074,308) Blue Meridian
Ghost of a Tale older $19.99 4,214 91% 126k $2.5M (exactly $2,527,136) SeithCG
Let's Build a Zoo older $19.99 3,722 89% 112k $2.2M (exactly $2,232,083) Springloaded
The First Tree older $9.99 4,763 77% 143k $1.4M (exactly $1,427,471) David Wehle
Islets older $19.99 1,831 95% 55k $1.1M (exactly $1,098,051) Kyle Thompson
Meadow - A Shelter Game older $6.99 5,060 90% 152k $1.1M (exactly $1,061,082) Might and Delight
Cattails | Become a Cat! older $14.99 2,315 95% 69k $1.0M (exactly $1,041,056) Falcon Development
The Ranchers · EA $24.99 547 57% 16k $410k (exactly $410,086) The Ranchers
Zefyr: A Thief's Melody $19.99 401 96% 12k $240k (exactly $240,480) Oneiric Worlds
Virtual Hunter $24.99 173 71% 5.2k $130k (exactly $129,698) Korpi Games Oy
Heroes of the Seven Islands $11.99 191 100% 5.7k $69k (exactly $68,703) Rap2h
Mazey Village · EA $14.99 32 87% 960 $14k (exactly $14,390) Slappy Inc.
Moose Diver $4.99 48 83% 1.4k $7.2k (exactly $7,186) Lingon Studios
No Stone Unturned · EA $11.99 18 100% 540 $6.5k (exactly $6,475) Wise Monkey Entertainment Ltd.
The Lost Mixtape $4.99 38 97% 1.1k $5.7k (exactly $5,689) Vided Studio
Go Kart Island $4.99 30 96% 900 $4.5k (exactly $4,491) Grumpy Pizza

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.