Do I ship it?

Games › Colony Sim › Colony Sim + Agriculture

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Agriculture Colony Sim?

Colony Sim + Agriculture

Of 33 developers who shipped an Agriculture Colony Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 57 more are announced, ×3.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $7.8k, ×12 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $720; 1 in 20 cleared $900k, ×1436 the market median. Revenue is up 105% on the market; 57 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 12.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 105% on the market, 57 announced, ×3.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Colony Sim + Agriculture
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 33
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $29k → $4.7k → $4.4k → $14k → $2.7k → $2.4k → $9.0k (still earning) → $34k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Colony Sim + Agriculture: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 33
Bottom 30% $718 (exactly $718)
Median $7.8k (exactly $7,796)
Top 25% $36k (exactly $35,671)
Top 5% $902k (exactly $901,949)
Developers, 2 yr 33
Released games 82
Announced 57
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 105% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Colony Sim
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Agriculture
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Colony Sim, Agriculture; 9 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Base Building, Building, Simulation
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 27,833 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $720, median $7.8k, 1 in 4 over $35k, 1 in 20 over $900k.

3 in 10 developers made under $720. 8 in 10 of the 17 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 57 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Colony Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Female ProtagonistFair7 devs · median $4.6k · 11 announced
  2. + ArcadeLong shot13 devs · median $359 · 19 announced
  3. + 4XPoor odds23 devs · median $314k · 77 announced
  4. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds11 devs · median $170k · 25 announced
  5. + Co-opPoor odds13 devs · median $73k · 54 announced
  6. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds11 devs · median $73k · 21 announced
  7. + HistoricalPoor odds42 devs · median $59k · 75 announced
  8. + Alternate HistoryPoor odds16 devs · median $59k · 43 announced
  9. + Open WorldPoor odds78 devs · median $58k · 168 announced
  10. + Action RPGPoor odds11 devs · median $58k · 35 announced
  11. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds48 devs · median $54k · 101 announced
  12. + MarsPoor odds13 devs · median $50k · 31 announced

All 93 pairs on the Colony Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Farthest Frontier 2025 · $26M Captain of Industry 2022 · EA · $12M Farm Together 2018 · $11M Stationeers 2017 · EA · $9.0M Ostriv 2020 · EA · $5.1M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Farthest Frontier $34.99 24,444 86% 733k $26M (exactly $25,658,867) Crate Entertainment
Captain of Industry · EA older $34.99 11,027 90% 331k $12M (exactly $11,575,042) MaFi Games
Farm Together older $19.99 17,647 93% 529k $11M (exactly $10,582,906) Milkstone Studios
Stationeers · EA older $34.99 8,597 88% 258k $9.0M (exactly $9,024,271) RocketWerkz
Ostriv · EA older $24.99 6,866 94% 206k $5.1M (exactly $5,147,440) yevhen8
Settlement Survival older $21.49 7,703 85% 231k $5.0M (exactly $4,966,124) Gleamer Studio
Fabledom older $20.99 6,772 85% 203k $4.3M (exactly $4,264,328) Grenaa Games
Clanfolk · EA older $29.99 3,779 91% 113k $3.4M (exactly $3,399,966) MinMax Games Ltd.
CryoFall older $19.99 4,905 78% 147k $2.9M (exactly $2,941,528) AtomicTorch Studio
Cartel Tycoon older $29.99 2,822 75% 85k $2.5M (exactly $2,538,953) Moon Moose
Havendock $19.99 1,504 81% 45k $902k (exactly $901,949) YYZ Studio
One Lonely Outpost $19.99 540 58% 16k $324k (exactly $323,838) indie.io
MR FARMBOY $9.99 480 85% 14k $144k (exactly $143,856) mrdboy
Ecopunk · EA $22.99 133 81% 4.0k $92k (exactly $91,730) Zerone Games
Goblin Camp $19.99 118 76% 3.5k $71k (exactly $70,765) Korppi Games Ltd
Colonize $9.99 192 39% 5.8k $58k (exactly $57,542) Rembrosoft
My Drug Cartel · EA $24.99 48 50% 1.4k $36k (exactly $35,986) Gigicom
refarm $3.99 298 87% 8.9k $36k (exactly $35,671) otterhands
SeaColony · EA $14.99 76 61% 2.3k $34k (exactly $34,177) Emindev

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.