Games › Open World › Open World + 3D Platformer
Should I ship a 3D Platformer Open World game?
Open World + 3D Platformer
Of 206 developers who shipped a 3D Platformer Open World game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 395 more are announced, ×3.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $750, ×0.5 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240. 395 games are announced against 116 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper, while revenue is down 30% on the market.
| Bottom 30% | $240 (exactly $240) |
|---|---|
| Median | $748 (exactly $748) |
| Top 25% | $9.0k (exactly $8,992) |
| Top 5% | $449k (exactly $449,175) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 206 |
| Released games | 686 |
| Announced | 395 |
| Effort | 8 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 30% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Open World
- effort 8 / 10 · low · effort 8 sits in the low band
- 3D Platformer
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 8 / 10 · online systems, open world
- Systems
- Open World, 3D Platformer; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Exploration, Action
- Price point
- $7.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Third Person, Colorful
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 87% positive over 57,759 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $240. 9 in 10 of the 127 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 395 games are announced against 116 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Open World with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + WuxiaFair
- + 4 Player LocalFair
- + VampiresFair
- + TrainsFair
- + FMVFair
- + GothicFair
- + MarsFair
- + TanksFair
- + FaithLong shot
- + DiplomacyPoor odds
- + Real-Time with PausePoor odds
- + Co-op CampaignPoor odds
Comparable games
Human Fall Flat 2016 · $105M 
A Hat in Time 2017 · $39M 
Indiana Jones and the Great Circle 2024 · $27M 
Sonic Frontiers 2022 · $27M 
Ratchet & Clank: Rift Apart 2023 · $21M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Human Fall Flat | older | $19.99 | 174,835 94% | 5.2M | $105M (exactly $104,848,549) | No Brakes Games |
| | A Hat in Time | older | $29.99 | 42,863 97% | 1.3M | $39M (exactly $38,563,841) | Gears for Breakfast |
| | Indiana Jones and the Great Circle | $69.99 | 13,058 89% | 392k | $27M (exactly $27,417,883) | MachineGames | |
| | Sonic Frontiers | older | $39.99 | 22,701 90% | 681k | $27M (exactly $27,234,390) | Sonic Team |
| | Ratchet & Clank: Rift Apart | older | $59.99 | 11,529 90% | 346k | $21M (exactly $20,748,741) | Insomniac Games, Nixxes Software |
 | LEGO® Batman™: Legacy of the Dark Knight | $69.99 | 8,728 95% | 262k | $18M (exactly $18,326,182) | TT Games | |
 | Another Crab's Treasure | older | $29.99 | 16,863 93% | 506k | $15M (exactly $15,171,641) | Aggro Crab |
 | SpongeBob SquarePants: Battle for Bikini Bottom - Rehydrated | older | $29.99 | 14,439 94% | 433k | $13M (exactly $12,990,768) | Purple Lamp |
 | Mirror's Edge™ Catalyst | older | $19.99 | 14,078 79% | 422k | $8.4M (exactly $8,442,577) | DICE |
 | Little Kitty, Big City | older | $24.99 | 10,423 96% | 313k | $7.8M (exactly $7,814,123) | Double Dagger Studio |
 | Haste | $19.99 | 12,690 92% | 381k | $7.6M (exactly $7,610,193) | Landfall | |
 | The Front | $19.99 | 9,555 66% | 287k | $5.7M (exactly $5,730,134) | Samar Studio | |
 | Rooftops & Alleys: The Parkour Game | $24.99 | 6,638 94% | 199k | $5.0M (exactly $4,976,509) | MLMEDIA | |
 | IfSunSets | · EA | $19.99 | 2,284 74% | 69k | $1.4M (exactly $1,369,715) | POLYMORPH |
 | Yooka-Replaylee | $29.99 | 1,045 92% | 31k | $940k (exactly $940,186) | Playtonic Games | |
 | Cozy Caravan | $19.99 | 1,247 93% | 37k | $748k (exactly $747,826) | 5 Lives Studios | |
 | Demon Tides | $24.99 | 831 96% | 25k | $623k (exactly $623,001) | Fabraz | |
 | Funi Raccoon Game | $11.99 | 1,683 99% | 50k | $605k (exactly $605,375) | Crayon, Kit |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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