Do I ship it?

GamesColony SimColony Sim + 3D Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a 3D Platformer Colony Sim?

Colony Sim + 3D Platformer

Only 2 developers shipped a 3D Platformer Colony Sim in the last 2 years. Over 4 years, 7 did: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 16 more are announced, ×16 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

Only 1 developer shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $1.5k against a market of $630. 16 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 2.4 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 16 announced, ×16 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Colony Sim + 3D Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 4 yr n = 7

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Colony Sim + 3D Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 4 yr, n = 7
Bottom 30% $898 (exactly $898)
Median $1.5k (exactly $1,497)
Top 25% $10k (exactly $10,490)
Top 5% $57k (exactly $56,943)
Developers, 4 yr 7
Released games 35
Announced 16
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Colony Sim
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Colony Sim, 3D Platformer
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 4 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 10 games average 78% positive over 351 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 4 years by share: 3 in 10 under $900, median $1.5k, 1 in 4 over $10k, 1 in 20 over $56k.

3 in 10 developers made under $900. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 16 games are announced against 1 developer who shipped in the last year, ×16 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Colony Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Female ProtagonistFair7 devs · median $4.6k · 11 announced
  2. + ArcadeLong shot13 devs · median $359 · 19 announced
  3. + 4XPoor odds23 devs · median $314k · 77 announced
  4. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds11 devs · median $170k · 25 announced
  5. + Co-opPoor odds13 devs · median $73k · 54 announced
  6. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds11 devs · median $73k · 21 announced
  7. + HistoricalPoor odds42 devs · median $59k · 75 announced
  8. + Alternate HistoryPoor odds16 devs · median $59k · 43 announced
  9. + Open WorldPoor odds78 devs · median $58k · 168 announced
  10. + Action RPGPoor odds11 devs · median $58k · 35 announced
  11. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds48 devs · median $54k · 101 announced
  12. + MarsPoor odds13 devs · median $50k · 31 announced

All 93 pairs on the Colony Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Duck Life 9: The Flock older $9.99 190 83% 5.7k $57k (exactly $56,943) Wix Games
Chang'an: The capital of Tang Dynasty older $9.99 58 70% 1.7k $17k (exactly $17,383) Romulus
Age of Jura older $9.99 35 74% 1.1k $10k (exactly $10,490) Mystic ERA games
Cellings · EA older $7.99 37 94% 1.1k $8.9k (exactly $8,869) Struct9
GARDEN OF EDEN older $15.99 6 16% 180 $2.9k (exactly $2,878) 凯撒工作室
Hexfactory $4.99 10 60% 300 $1.5k (exactly $1,497) Aquila Industrial
Food Store Simulator $4.99 6 50% 180 $898 (exactly $898) mobaroid
Only go up™ older $5.99 4 0% 120 $719 (exactly $719) Y Games, YUNDONGWOOK
LandCombat:Ren · EA older $7.99 1 0% 30 $240 (exactly $240) Banada
To Save Humanity From Virus older $1.99 4 100% 120 $239 (exactly $239) Tomas Daugela

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.