Do I ship it?

Games › Wargame › Wargame + 2D Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a 2D Platformer Wargame?

Wargame + 2D Platformer

Of 33 developers who shipped a 2D Platformer Wargame in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 26 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $210 in the last 2 years and $210 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 17 developers shipped in the last year and 26 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 25% on the market, 26 announced, ×1.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Wargame + 2D Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 33
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $299 → $449 → $240 → $89 → $120 → $267 → $209 (still earning) → $899 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Wargame + 2D Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 33
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $209 (exactly $209)
Top 25% $1.3k (exactly $1,349)
Top 5% $67k (exactly $66,758)
Developers, 2 yr 33
Released games 101
Announced 26
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 25% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Wargame
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
2D Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Wargame, 2D Platformer; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Simulation, Turn-Based Strategy
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 80% positive over 605 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $210, 1 in 4 over $1.3k, 1 in 20 over $66k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 19 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 26 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Wargame with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Inventory ManagementFair21 devs · median $4.6k · 20 announced
  2. + Local MultiplayerFair28 devs · median $3.0k · 28 announced
  3. + NavalFair37 devs · median $2.4k · 37 announced
  4. + TabletopFair50 devs · median $1.1k · 57 announced
  5. + LogicFair20 devs · median $599 · 26 announced
  6. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds11 devs · median $37k · 24 announced
  7. + Real-TimePoor odds13 devs · median $37k · 17 announced
  8. + Co-opPoor odds43 devs · median $21k · 84 announced
  9. + StealthPoor odds10 devs · median $21k · 39 announced
  10. + DiplomacyPoor odds34 devs · median $17k · 59 announced
  11. + Colony SimPoor odds24 devs · median $16k · 55 announced
  12. + SandboxPoor odds82 devs · median $14k · 142 announced

All 147 pairs on the Wargame page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Oriental Dynasty - Silk Road defense war 2023 · $111k Uncharted Ocean 2019 · $84k No Retreat! The Russian Front 2026 · $72k STRANGER SAGA -Stranger Bach and Iskiyeld's Ambition- 2025 · $67k Beach Defense: Zombie Invasion 2026 · $24k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Oriental Dynasty - Silk Road defense war older $5.99 616 75% 18k $111k (exactly $110,695) 星环游戏
Uncharted Ocean older $4.99 563 70% 17k $84k (exactly $84,281) HiRabbitgame
No Retreat! The Russian Front $29.99 80 76% 2.4k $72k (exactly $71,976) Cyril Jarnot, Avalon Digital
STRANGER SAGA -Stranger Bach and Iskiyeld's Ambition- $9.89 225 86% 6.8k $67k (exactly $66,758) Retro Game Balance & Mechanics -レトロ… (Retro Game Balance & Mechanics -レトロゲームの手応えとバランスを追求するデザイン工房-)
Beach Defense: Zombie Invasion $3.99 197 81% 5.9k $24k (exactly $23,581) Only Fun Games
Grand War: Rome older $12.99 51 76% 1.5k $20k (exactly $19,875) Joynow Studio
逆乱封神之武王伐纣 older $4.99 80 91% 2.4k $12k (exactly $11,976) 赚大钱工作室
Planet TD older $2.99 124 73% 3.7k $11k (exactly $11,123) MD Games
Nuclear Fighter older $24.99 11 81% 330 $8.2k (exactly $8,247) Laush Dmitriy Sergeevich
Dynasty Game 2 $7.99 29 65% 870 $7.0k (exactly $6,951) Yocone
Star Titans : War of the Galaxy $14.99 14 92% 420 $6.3k (exactly $6,296) Mediawork
Gold Defence $9.99 20 65% 600 $6.0k (exactly $5,994) Gamesforgames
Rayadillo · EA $2.99 25 84% 750 $2.2k (exactly $2,242) Rayadillo Games
Shield Operator $4.99 10 50% 300 $1.5k (exactly $1,497) Puantaun Studio
Mercatoria · EA $14.99 3 33% 90 $1.3k (exactly $1,349) DKS
Jingjie: Probability Cloud - Nagumo's Dilemma · EA $14.99 2 0% 60 $899 (exactly $899) JK STUDIO

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.