Games › Third-Person Shooter › Third-Person Shooter + Visual Novel
Should I ship a Visual Novel Third-Person Shooter?
Third-Person Shooter + Visual Novel
Only 3 developers shipped a Visual Novel Third-Person Shooter in the last 2 years. Over 4 years, 11 did: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 9 more are announced, ×9.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.
Only 1 developer shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $31k against a market of $1.5k. 9 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $359 (exactly $359) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.6k (exactly $1,617) |
| Top 25% | $27k (exactly $26,982) |
| Top 5% | $50k (exactly $49,882) |
| Developers, 4 yr | 11 |
| Released games | 31 |
| Announced | 9 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $5.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 50% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Third-Person Shooter
- effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
- Visual Novel
- effort 2 / 10 · high · script, choices and static art
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- Third-Person Shooter, Visual Novel
- Price point
- $5.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 4 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $34.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 90% positive over 59,222 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $360. 9 games are announced against 1 developer who shipped in the last year, ×9.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Third-Person Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + RhythmStrong odds
- + WesternFair
- + CollectathonLong shot
- + Time ManagementLong shot
- + Walking SimulatorLong shot
- + Class-BasedPoor odds
- + Creature CollectorPoor odds
- + DinosaursPoor odds
- + MechsPoor odds
- + Alternate HistoryPoor odds
- + Level EditorPoor odds
- + CraftingPoor odds
Comparable games
Senren＊Banka 2020 · $35M 
Sword Art Online: Fatal Bullet 2018 · $9.3M 
Danganronpa Another Episode: Ultra Despair Girls 2017 · $6.7M 
Bullet Girls Phantasia 2020 · $651k 
Panty Party 2017 · $289k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Senren＊Banka | older | $34.99 | 33,721 98% | 1.0M | $35M (exactly $35,396,934) | YUZUSOFT |
| | Sword Art Online: Fatal Bullet | older | $19.99 | 15,461 79% | 464k | $9.3M (exactly $9,271,962) | Dimps Corporation |
| | Danganronpa Another Episode: Ultra Despair Girls | older | $29.99 | 7,405 81% | 222k | $6.7M (exactly $6,662,278) | Spike Chunsoft Co., Ltd. |
| | Bullet Girls Phantasia | older | $29.99 | 724 82% | 22k | $651k (exactly $651,383) | SHADE Inc. |
| | Panty Party | older | $9.99 | 963 91% | 29k | $289k (exactly $288,611) | Animu Game |
 | Gun Gun Pixies | older | $49.99 | 107 74% | 3.2k | $160k (exactly $160,468) | Idea Factory, SHADE |
 | Grand Pigeon's Duty | older | $3.99 | 448 76% | 13k | $54k (exactly $53,626) | WolfgangIs |
 | Dusk Pub | $12.99 | 128 92% | 3.8k | $50k (exactly $49,882) | YellowDuckWorks | |
 | Miss！Don't Affect my Rank | $4.99 | 205 76% | 6.2k | $31k (exactly $30,688) | Peach Fox Game | |
 | Intergalactic Ecstasy | older | $14.99 | 60 86% | 1.8k | $27k (exactly $26,982) | HFTGames |
 | Gun Of Fate: The Silver Gun Of Ylia | $7.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $240 (exactly $240) | NiceandSimple Gaming |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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