Do I ship it?

Games › Third-Person Shooter › Third-Person Shooter + Top-Down Shooter

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Top-Down Shooter Third-Person Shooter?

Third-Person Shooter + Top-Down Shooter

Of 54 developers who shipped a Top-Down Shooter Third-Person Shooter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 70 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $270 in the last 2 years and $240 over 4, against a market of $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build. 34 developers shipped in the last year and 70 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 35% on the market, 70 announced, ×2.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Third-Person Shooter + Top-Down Shooter
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 54
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $150 → $179 → $538 → $269 → $300 → $239 → $120 (still earning) → $269 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Third-Person Shooter + Top-Down Shooter: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 54
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $269 (exactly $269)
Top 25% $3.1k (exactly $3,120)
Top 5% $1.1M (exactly $1,137,534)
Developers, 2 yr 54
Released games 173
Announced 70
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 35% on the market, supply 70% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Third-Person Shooter
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Top-Down Shooter
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Third-Person Shooter, Top-Down Shooter; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Shooter, Action Roguelike
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Top-Down, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 93,017 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $270, 1 in 4 over $3.1k, 1 in 20 over $1.1M.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 8 in 10 of the 29 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 70 games are announced against 34 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Third-Person Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RhythmStrong odds6 devs · median $3.3k · 6 announced
  2. + WesternFair15 devs · median $1.4k · 16 announced
  3. + CollectathonLong shot19 devs · median $599 · 20 announced
  4. + Time ManagementLong shot15 devs · median $538 · 12 announced
  5. + Walking SimulatorLong shot27 devs · median $479 · 27 announced
  6. + Class-BasedPoor odds11 devs · median $13k · 53 announced
  7. + Creature CollectorPoor odds12 devs · median $13k · 15 announced
  8. + DinosaursPoor odds8 devs · median $9.0k · 14 announced
  9. + MechsPoor odds38 devs · median $7.2k · 63 announced
  10. + Alternate HistoryPoor odds12 devs · median $6.9k · 70 announced
  11. + Level EditorPoor odds10 devs · median $6.9k · 14 announced
  12. + CraftingPoor odds65 devs · median $5.1k · 156 announced

All 163 pairs on the Third-Person Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Escape From Duckov 2025 · $45M Hatred 2015 · $4.6M Suit for Hire 2025 · $1.5M Greedland 2025 · $1.1M TerraTech Legion 2026 · $632k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Escape From Duckov $17.99 83,826 85% 2.5M $45M (exactly $45,240,892) Team Soda
Hatred older $5.99 25,770 84% 773k $4.6M (exactly $4,630,869) Destructive Creations
Suit for Hire $14.99 3,263 92% 98k $1.5M (exactly $1,467,371) Godmode Interactive
Greedland $12.99 2,919 83% 88k $1.1M (exactly $1,137,534) VaMP He
TerraTech Legion $9.99 2,109 81% 63k $632k (exactly $632,067) Payload Studios
Alien Shooter older $4.99 3,919 95% 118k $587k (exactly $586,674) Sigma Team Inc.
Halo: Spartan Assault older $2.99 4,397 78% 132k $394k (exactly $394,411) Vanguard Games, 343 Industries
Alien Breed: Impact older $9.99 1,055 78% 32k $316k (exactly $316,184) Team17 Software Ltd.
Dark Light: Survivor · EA $16.99 346 75% 10k $176k (exactly $176,356) Mirari&Co.
Shadowgrounds Survivor older $9.99 583 62% 17k $175k (exactly $174,725) Frozenbyte
HSS:Reload $8.99 181 71% 5.4k $49k (exactly $48,816) SmokingBear Studio
Supercat Survivors $6.99 142 80% 4.3k $30k (exactly $29,777) Happy Universe Studios
Try to survive Today · EA $10.99 77 68% 2.3k $25k (exactly $25,387) VIVA
Book Shooter $6.99 107 86% 3.2k $22k (exactly $22,438) SOS GameLab.
TOUHOU RHAPSODY OF MOON RABBIT · EA $9.99 47 82% 1.4k $14k (exactly $14,086) 瓦尔基里游戏

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.