Do I ship it?

GamesThird-Person ShooterThird-Person Shooter + Tactical RPG

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Tactical RPG Third-Person Shooter?

Third-Person Shooter + Tactical RPG

Only 10 developers shipped a Tactical RPG Third-Person Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Deadrock Redemption 2, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 35 more are announced, ×8.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $1.0k against a market of $1.5k. 35 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 1470% on the market, 35 announced, ×8.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Third-Person Shooter + Tactical RPG
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $750 → $1.9k → $1.2k → $1.5k → $4.2k
Outcomes for Third-Person Shooter + Tactical RPG: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $179 (exactly $179)
Median $1.0k (exactly $1,048)
Top 25% $3.6k (exactly $3,596)
Top 5% $55k (exactly $55,313)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 51
Announced 35
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1470% on the market, supply 45% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 22%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Third-Person Shooter
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Tactical RPG
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Third-Person Shooter, Tactical RPG; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action-Adventure, Hero Shooter
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Third Person, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 9 games average 76% positive over 204 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $1.0k, 1 in 4 over $3.5k, 1 in 20 over $55k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 8 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 35 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×8.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Third-Person Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RhythmStrong odds6 devs · median $3.3k · 6 announced
  2. + WesternFair15 devs · median $1.4k · 16 announced
  3. + CollectathonLong shot19 devs · median $599 · 20 announced
  4. + Time ManagementLong shot15 devs · median $538 · 12 announced
  5. + Walking SimulatorLong shot27 devs · median $479 · 27 announced
  6. + Class-BasedPoor odds11 devs · median $13k · 53 announced
  7. + Creature CollectorPoor odds12 devs · median $13k · 15 announced
  8. + DinosaursPoor odds8 devs · median $9.0k · 14 announced
  9. + MechsPoor odds38 devs · median $7.2k · 63 announced
  10. + Alternate HistoryPoor odds12 devs · median $6.9k · 70 announced
  11. + Level EditorPoor odds10 devs · median $6.9k · 14 announced
  12. + CraftingPoor odds65 devs · median $5.1k · 156 announced

All 163 pairs on the Third-Person Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Phoenix Point older $24.99 5,375 73% 161k $4.0M (exactly $4,029,637) Snapshot Games Inc.
DIRECT CONTACT · EA older $14.99 328 31% 9.8k $148k (exactly $147,502) Mountain 81
Prime & Load : 1776 older $7.99 313 76% 9.4k $75k (exactly $75,026) Radio Silence Entertainment
Deadrock Redemption 2 $14.99 123 86% 3.7k $55k (exactly $55,313) Entropy Digital Entertainment
Outbreak: Contagious Memories older $29.99 30 63% 900 $27k (exactly $26,991) Dead Drop Studios LLC
Magicians And Monsters older $5.99 68 64% 2.0k $12k (exactly $12,220) 呜噜噜游戏
Survival Africa older $16.99 22 36% 660 $11k (exactly $11,213) MeanDean
Maroon Berets: 2030 older $7.99 30 46% 900 $7.2k (exactly $7,191) Maroon Berets: 2030
Pretty Agent older $4.99 39 71% 1.2k $5.8k (exactly $5,838) MC GAME
Climber Girl $7.99 19 36% 570 $4.6k (exactly $4,554) AlterLab Development
Survalker $9.99 14 85% 420 $4.2k (exactly $4,196) Gamesforgames
Maniac Path 3 $9.99 12 100% 360 $3.6k (exactly $3,596) Gamesforgames
ACESurvivor $4.99 10 50% 300 $1.5k (exactly $1,497) brainstorm Solo Studio
Pretty Agent 2 $4.99 7 28% 210 $1.0k (exactly $1,048) MC GAME
100 Wars $7.99 2 50% 60 $479 (exactly $479) 文艺复兴雪
Doomvile Brainrot $0.99 15 66% 450 $446 (exactly $446) Gamesforgames
Drone:Modern Warfare $2.99 2 0% 60 $179 (exactly $179) AndyKwok008
Infinite Zombie Tide · EA $0.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) LZYX

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.