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Should I ship a Wargame Swordplay game?
Swordplay + Wargame
Only 17 developers shipped a Wargame Swordplay game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, DYNASTY WARRIORS: ORIGINS, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 18 more are announced.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $540, ×0.9 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $41M, ×65458 the market median. Revenue is down 100% on the market; 18 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $148 (exactly $148) |
|---|---|
| Median | $539 (exactly $539) |
| Top 25% | $28k (exactly $27,891) |
| Top 5% | $41M (exactly $41,107,927) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 17 |
| Released games | 40 |
| Announced | 18 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.90 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 100% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Swordplay, Wargame; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Action, Action RPG
- Price point
- $9.90 typical · top 25% priced $69.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Third Person, 3D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $69.99 or above; the middle game at $9.90.
The top 10 games average 92% positive over 20,068 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $150. 7 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 18 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Swordplay with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Visual NovelFair
- + Strategy RPGFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Auto BattlerFair
- + DeckbuildingFair
- + Shoot 'Em UpLong shot
- + SamuraiPoor odds
- + JRPGPoor odds
- + Female ProtagonistPoor odds
- + FightingPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + Base BuildingPoor odds
Comparable games
Chivalry 2 2022 · $56M 
DYNASTY WARRIORS: ORIGINS 2025 · $41M 
Ninja Village 2022 · $147k 
SeaCret 1 2025 · EA · $119k 
Sea Dogs: City of Abandoned Ships 2018 · $59k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Chivalry 2 | older | $39.99 | 46,707 79% | 1.4M | $56M (exactly $56,034,388) | Torn Banner Studios |
| | DYNASTY WARRIORS: ORIGINS | $69.99 | 19,578 92% | 587k | $41M (exactly $41,107,927) | KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD. | |
| | Ninja Village | older | $8.99 | 546 93% | 16k | $147k (exactly $147,256) | Kairosoft Co.,Ltd |
| | SeaCret 1 | · EA | $39.99 | 99 61% | 3.0k | $119k (exactly $118,770) | Dalas |
| | Sea Dogs: City of Abandoned Ships | older | $7.99 | 245 76% | 7.4k | $59k (exactly $58,726) | Akella |
 | The Last King | · EA | $14.99 | 122 79% | 3.7k | $55k (exactly $54,863) | Mayawi software |
 | Sea Dogs: Caribbean Tales | older | $11.99 | 127 62% | 3.8k | $46k (exactly $45,682) | Akella |
 | Sengoku Voxel Castle With Zundamon | · EA | $12.99 | 106 95% | 3.2k | $41k (exactly $41,308) | KC Project |
 | Tales Of Glory 4 : Ragnarok | · EA | $29.99 | 31 83% | 930 | $28k (exactly $27,891) | BlackTale Games |
 | 天下統一SSB | older | $69.99 | 9 44% | 270 | $19k (exactly $18,897) | Systemsoft beta, Inc. |
 | Politon | $4.99 | 81 90% | 2.4k | $12k (exactly $12,126) | Pinq Games | |
 | BannerBound | · EA | $12.99 | 15 73% | 450 | $5.8k (exactly $5,846) | Cosmic noise |
 | Wartheon | $3.99 | 17 94% | 510 | $2.0k (exactly $2,035) | Asilpena Games | |
 | This sect accepts female disciples only | $8.99 | 2 50% | 60 | $539 (exactly $539) | sln | |
 | Kill Dee | $0.99 | 17 82% | 510 | $505 (exactly $505) | BYE BYE, BUYBYEGames |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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