Games › Third-Person Shooter › Third-Person Shooter + Supernatural
Should I ship a Supernatural Third-Person Shooter?
Third-Person Shooter + Supernatural
Of 27 developers who shipped a Supernatural Third-Person Shooter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 73 more are announced, ×4.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $900, ×0.6 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $210. 73 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.6 per shipper, while revenue is up 90% on the market.
| Bottom 30% | $210 (exactly $210) |
|---|---|
| Median | $898 (exactly $898) |
| Top 25% | $6.1k (exactly $6,115) |
| Top 5% | $833k (exactly $833,166) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 27 |
| Released games | 66 |
| Announced | 73 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $8.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 90% on the market, supply 45% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Third-Person Shooter
- effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
- Supernatural
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- Third-Person Shooter; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Shooter
- Price point
- $8.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
- Art
- 8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Third Person
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.
The top 10 games average 89% positive over 5,483 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $210. 9 in 10 of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 73 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.6 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Third-Person Shooter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + RhythmStrong odds
- + WesternFair
- + CollectathonLong shot
- + Time ManagementLong shot
- + Walking SimulatorLong shot
- + Class-BasedPoor odds
- + Creature CollectorPoor odds
- + DinosaursPoor odds
- + MechsPoor odds
- + Alternate HistoryPoor odds
- + Level EditorPoor odds
- + CraftingPoor odds
Comparable games
CONTROL Ultimate Edition 2020 · $61M 
Alan Wake 2012 · $21M 
Crow Country 2024 · $4.6M 
Midnight Ghost Hunt 2024 · $3.3M 
Alan Wake's American Nightmare 2012 · $2.3M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | CONTROL Ultimate Edition | older | $39.99 | 50,602 86% | 1.5M | $61M (exactly $60,707,219) | Remedy Entertainment |
| | Alan Wake | older | $14.99 | 45,662 89% | 1.4M | $21M (exactly $20,534,201) | Remedy Entertainment |
| | Crow Country | older | $19.99 | 7,741 98% | 232k | $4.6M (exactly $4,642,278) | SFB Games |
| | Midnight Ghost Hunt | older | $19.99 | 5,420 80% | 163k | $3.3M (exactly $3,250,374) | Vaulted Sky Games |
| | Alan Wake's American Nightmare | older | $8.99 | 8,352 74% | 251k | $2.3M (exactly $2,252,534) | Remedy Entertainment |
 | Ghostbusters: The Video Game Remastered | older | $24.99 | 2,069 90% | 62k | $1.6M (exactly $1,551,129) | Saber Interactive |
 | Tormented Souls 2 | $29.99 | 1,675 88% | 50k | $1.5M (exactly $1,506,998) | Dual Effect | |
 | 近畿霊務局 - Kinki Spiritual Affairs Bureau | $9.99 | 2,780 92% | 83k | $833k (exactly $833,166) | Noto Muteki | |
 | BloodRayne: Terminal Cut | older | $14.99 | 1,593 90% | 48k | $716k (exactly $716,372) | Terminal Reality |
 | Project Werewulf | $29.99 | 778 83% | 23k | $700k (exactly $699,967) | FTRGameStudio | |
 | Fright Train | $15.99 | 139 89% | 4.2k | $67k (exactly $66,678) | WildArts Games | |
 | 除邪2(CHUXIE2) | $6.99 | 44 40% | 1.3k | $9.2k (exactly $9,227) | LCGaming | |
 | Lustborn | $16.99 | 13 61% | 390 | $6.6k (exactly $6,626) | ILBB | |
 | The Dreaded Hut | $11.99 | 17 94% | 510 | $6.1k (exactly $6,115) | Gnaw Paw Studios | |
 | Poveglia: The Island of No Return | · EA | $14.99 | 10 60% | 300 | $4.5k (exactly $4,497) | INTI Game Productions |
 | Vesperia Bononia | $9.99 | 15 100% | 450 | $4.5k (exactly $4,496) | Power Up Team | |
 | Wall Of Insanity 2 | $9.99 | 12 100% | 360 | $3.6k (exactly $3,596) | VenomizedArt |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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