Do I ship it?

GamesThird-Person ShooterThird-Person Shooter + Strategy RPG

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Strategy RPG Third-Person Shooter?

Third-Person Shooter + Strategy RPG

Only 12 developers shipped a Strategy RPG Third-Person Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, WARSHIFT 2, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 28 more are announced, ×7.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $1.0k against a market of $1.5k. 28 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 35% on the market, 28 announced, ×7.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Third-Person Shooter + Strategy RPG
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $239 → $3.0k → $5.8k → $150 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Third-Person Shooter + Strategy RPG: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $299 (exactly $299)
Median $1.0k (exactly $1,048)
Top 25% $6.0k (exactly $5,994)
Top 5% $32k (exactly $32,384)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 37
Announced 28
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 35% on the market, supply 50% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Third-Person Shooter
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Strategy RPG
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Third-Person Shooter, Strategy RPG
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 61% positive over 162 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $1.0k, 1 in 4 over $5.9k, 1 in 20 over $32k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. All of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 28 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×7.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Third-Person Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RhythmStrong odds6 devs · median $3.3k · 6 announced
  2. + WesternFair15 devs · median $1.4k · 16 announced
  3. + CollectathonLong shot19 devs · median $599 · 20 announced
  4. + Time ManagementLong shot15 devs · median $538 · 12 announced
  5. + Walking SimulatorLong shot27 devs · median $479 · 27 announced
  6. + Class-BasedPoor odds11 devs · median $13k · 53 announced
  7. + Creature CollectorPoor odds12 devs · median $13k · 15 announced
  8. + DinosaursPoor odds8 devs · median $9.0k · 14 announced
  9. + MechsPoor odds38 devs · median $7.2k · 63 announced
  10. + Alternate HistoryPoor odds12 devs · median $6.9k · 70 announced
  11. + Level EditorPoor odds10 devs · median $6.9k · 14 announced
  12. + CraftingPoor odds65 devs · median $5.1k · 156 announced

All 163 pairs on the Third-Person Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Boat Crew · EA older $24.99 431 89% 13k $323k (exactly $323,121) Tabbing Tabby
Tru Or Die older $9.99 336 52% 10k $101k (exactly $100,699) Tru Hunnit
Prime & Load : 1776 older $7.99 313 76% 9.4k $75k (exactly $75,026) Radio Silence Entertainment
WARSHIFT 2 $19.99 54 70% 1.6k $32k (exactly $32,384) Cyril Megem
Puropu Defense Squad $9.99 28 57% 840 $8.4k (exactly $8,392) PlayTogether Studio
Money And Lady | 财貌双全 $9.99 20 35% 600 $6.0k (exactly $5,994) Happy DLC Studio
Pretty Agent older $4.99 39 71% 1.2k $5.8k (exactly $5,838) MC GAME
Climber Girl $7.99 19 36% 570 $4.6k (exactly $4,554) AlterLab Development
Clan monsters older $9.99 10 100% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,997) Gamesforgames
Grim Pastures · EA $3.99 25 96% 750 $3.0k (exactly $2,992) 7hgamestudio
Pretty Agent 2 $4.99 7 28% 210 $1.0k (exactly $1,048) MC GAME
​Shattered Lands (破碎之地) $6.99 4 25% 120 $839 (exactly $839) VoidStudio
Stars And Empires: Colony Defense $14.99 1 100% 30 $450 (exactly $450) Elemental Legion
Faith Of Life _ Survive Edition $4.99 2 100% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Faith Studio Team
MonsterEnd $4.99 2 50% 60 $299 (exactly $299) XiaoDongMa

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.