Games › Third-Person Shooter › Third-Person Shooter + Space
Should I ship a Space Third-Person Shooter?
Third-Person Shooter + Space
Of 70 developers who shipped a Space Third-Person Shooter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 147 more are announced, ×4.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $600, ×0.4 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180. 147 games are announced against 34 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.3 per shipper, while revenue is up 80% on the market.
| Bottom 30% | $180 (exactly $180) |
|---|---|
| Median | $597 (exactly $597) |
| Top 25% | $5.8k (exactly $5,753) |
| Top 5% | $2.3M (exactly $2,343,562) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 70 |
| Released games | 277 |
| Announced | 147 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $6.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 80% on the market, supply 10% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Third-Person Shooter
- effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
- Space
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- Third-Person Shooter; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Shooter, Action-Adventure
- Price point
- $6.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Third Person, 3D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.
The top 10 games average 87% positive over 52,939 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $180. 9 in 10 of the 41 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 147 games are announced against 34 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Third-Person Shooter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + RhythmStrong odds
- + WesternFair
- + CollectathonLong shot
- + Time ManagementLong shot
- + Walking SimulatorLong shot
- + Class-BasedPoor odds
- + Creature CollectorPoor odds
- + DinosaursPoor odds
- + MechsPoor odds
- + Alternate HistoryPoor odds
- + Level EditorPoor odds
- + CraftingPoor odds
Comparable games
HELLDIVERS™ 2 2024 · $1.0B 
Warhammer 40,000: Space Marine 2 2024 · $303M 
Dead Space 2023 · $113M 
Mass Effect™ Legendary Edition 2021 · $112M 
STAR WARS™ Battlefront™ II 2020 · $105M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | HELLDIVERS™ 2 | older | $39.99 | 838,901 76% | 25M | $1.0B (exactly $1,006,429,530) | Arrowhead Game Studios |
| | Warhammer 40,000: Space Marine 2 | older | $59.99 | 168,628 84% | 5.1M | $303M (exactly $303,479,812) | Saber Interactive |
| | Dead Space | older | $59.99 | 62,997 90% | 1.9M | $113M (exactly $113,375,701) | Motive |
| | Mass Effect™ Legendary Edition | older | $59.99 | 62,205 91% | 1.9M | $112M (exactly $111,950,338) | BioWare |
| | STAR WARS™ Battlefront™ II | older | $39.99 | 87,494 88% | 2.6M | $105M (exactly $104,966,552) | DICE |
 | Marvel's Guardians of the Galaxy | older | $59.99 | 35,397 93% | 1.1M | $64M (exactly $63,703,981) | Eidos-Montréal |
 | The Callisto Protocol™ | older | $59.99 | 35,135 66% | 1.1M | $63M (exactly $63,232,460) | Striking Distance Studios |
 | PRAGMATA | $59.99 | 32,885 96% | 987k | $59M (exactly $59,183,134) | CAPCOM Co., Ltd. | |
 | Star Wars Outlaws | $69.99 | 12,268 71% | 368k | $26M (exactly $25,759,120) | Massive Entertainment – A Ubisoft Studio | |
 | Ratchet & Clank: Rift Apart | older | $59.99 | 11,529 90% | 346k | $21M (exactly $20,748,741) | Insomniac Games, Nixxes Software |
 | Aliens: Fireteam Elite 2 | $49.99 | 3,515 61% | 105k | $5.3M (exactly $5,271,446) | Cold Iron Studios | |
 | Voidling Bound | $24.99 | 3,126 92% | 94k | $2.3M (exactly $2,343,562) | Hatchery Games | |
 | Werewolf: The Inner Beast | $19.99 | 221 76% | 6.6k | $133k (exactly $132,534) | FTRGameStudio | |
 | TOP DOG | $9.99 | 263 88% | 7.9k | $79k (exactly $78,821) | MorfeoDev | |
 | 深空七号 Deep Space 7 | $5.99 | 307 79% | 9.2k | $55k (exactly $55,168) | JT Studio | |
 | Dawn of Anarchy | $13.99 | 125 84% | 3.8k | $52k (exactly $52,462) | Quacky Games | |
 | HSS:Reload | $8.99 | 181 71% | 5.4k | $49k (exactly $48,816) | SmokingBear Studio | |
 | Operation Night Strikers | $24.99 | 48 77% | 1.4k | $36k (exactly $35,986) | M2 Co., Ltd. |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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