Games › Sports › Sports + Snow
Should I ship a Snow Sports game?
Sports + Snow
Only 18 developers shipped a Snow Sports game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Assetto Corsa Rally, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 22 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×2.0 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $7.8M, ×12546 the market median. Revenue is down 95% on the market; 22 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $238 (exactly $238) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.3k (exactly $1,260) |
| Top 25% | $40k (exactly $39,734) |
| Top 5% | $7.9M (exactly $7,878,673) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 18 |
| Released games | 61 |
| Announced | 22 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Sports; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Racing, Character Customization, Exploration
- Price point
- $7.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Colorful, Family Friendly
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 90% positive over 14,112 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $240. 8 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 22 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Sports with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Dynamic NarrationStrong odds
- + CraftingFair
- + Strategy RPGFair
- + SandboxFair
- + Split ScreenFair
- + Dating SimFair
- + Visual NovelFair
- + LGBTQ+Fair
- + FMVFair
- + BikesFair
- + Immersive SimFair
- + Choices MatterFair
Comparable games
Steep™ 2016 · $28M 
Assetto Corsa Rally 2025 · EA · $7.9M 
Sledders 2025 · $3.9M 
Lonely Mountains: Snow Riders 2025 · $562k 
BMX The Game 2020 · EA · $336k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Steep™ | older | $29.99 | 30,589 82% | 918k | $28M (exactly $27,520,923) | Ubisoft Annecy, Ubisoft Montpellier, Ub… (Ubisoft Annecy, Ubisoft Montpellier, Ubisoft Kiev) |
| | Assetto Corsa Rally | · EA | $29.99 | 8,757 87% | 263k | $7.9M (exactly $7,878,673) | Supernova Games Studios |
| | Sledders | $29.99 | 4,372 95% | 131k | $3.9M (exactly $3,933,488) | Hanki Games | |
| | Lonely Mountains: Snow Riders | $24.99 | 749 91% | 22k | $562k (exactly $561,525) | Megagon Industries | |
| | BMX The Game | · EA older | $24.99 | 448 60% | 13k | $336k (exactly $335,866) | Barspin Studios |
 | When Ski Lifts Go Wrong | older | $14.99 | 519 87% | 16k | $233k (exactly $233,394) | Hugecalf Studios |
 | Grand Mountain Adventure: Wonderlands | older | $19.99 | 320 92% | 9.6k | $192k (exactly $191,904) | Toppluva AB |
 | The Snowboard Game | older | $14.99 | 309 82% | 9.3k | $139k (exactly $138,957) | Let it roll AB |
 | Climber: Sky is the Limit | older | $21.99 | 142 69% | 4.3k | $94k (exactly $93,677) | A2 Softworks, Art Games Studio S.A. |
 | The Alto Collection | older | $9.99 | 263 94% | 7.9k | $79k (exactly $78,821) | Land & Sea |
 | Slopecrashers | $17.99 | 82 93% | 2.5k | $44k (exactly $44,255) | byteparrot | |
 | Fresh Tracks | $24.99 | 53 94% | 1.6k | $40k (exactly $39,734) | Buffalo Buffalo | |
 | Octohill Ski Tycoon | $8.99 | 41 85% | 1.2k | $11k (exactly $11,058) | DeuxBaguettes | |
 | Figure Skating Legends | $6.99 | 35 97% | 1.1k | $7.3k (exactly $7,340) | Tomas Daugela | |
 | Snowlike | $7.99 | 14 92% | 420 | $3.4k (exactly $3,356) | captinbeefy | |
 | Chemp Physics | · EA | $6.00 | 7 100% | 210 | $1.3k (exactly $1,260) | XORWIRE Games |
 | Fresh Tracks VR | $19.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $1.2k (exactly $1,199) | Buffalo Buffalo |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.