Should I ship an FMV Sports game?
Sports + FMV
Only 17 developers shipped an FMV Sports game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Blastforge Breach, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 5 more are announced.
Verdict: fair, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $2.7k, ×4.3 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $360. Revenue is up 55% on the market; 5 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $359 (exactly $359) |
|---|---|
| Median | $2.7k (exactly $2,698) |
| Top 25% | $24k (exactly $23,994) |
| Top 5% | $125k (exactly $124,769) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 17 |
| Released games | 33 |
| Announced | 5 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 55% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Sports, FMV; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Action, Adventure
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $39.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Anime, Atmospheric
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 83% positive over 650 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $360. 8 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 5 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Sports with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Dynamic NarrationStrong odds
- + CraftingFair
- + Strategy RPGFair
- + SandboxFair
- + Split ScreenFair
- + Dating SimFair
- + Visual NovelFair
- + LGBTQ+Fair
- + BikesFair
- + Immersive SimFair
- + Choices MatterFair
- + Choose Your Own AdventureFair
Comparable games
Blastforge Breach 2025 · $125k 
Roata Mai 2025 · $104k 
Femboy Futa Mania 🌶️ 2026 · $78k 
FUTA FIGHT & FUCK 🥊 2026 · $52k 
Big Buck Hunter: Ultimate Trophy 2025 · $24k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Blastforge Breach | $39.99 | 104 87% | 3.1k | $125k (exactly $124,769) | Clava STOVE | |
| | Roata Mai | $39.99 | 87 94% | 2.6k | $104k (exactly $104,374) | OUT LLL | |
| | Femboy Futa Mania 🌶️ | $14.99 | 174 71% | 5.2k | $78k (exactly $78,248) | Lewd Star | |
| | FUTA FIGHT & FUCK 🥊 | $14.99 | 115 92% | 3.5k | $52k (exactly $51,716) | BanzaiProject | |
| | Big Buck Hunter: Ultimate Trophy | $39.99 | 20 60% | 600 | $24k (exactly $23,994) | Cradle Games, Play Mechanix, Inc | |
 | Splash Shot Golf Legend | $19.99 | 22 54% | 660 | $13k (exactly $13,193) | TANUKIHOUSE | |
 | PT+ | older | $19.99 | 6 83% | 180 | $3.6k (exactly $3,598) | Liam McMains |
 | Farm Racing | $9.99 | 11 100% | 330 | $3.3k (exactly $3,297) | Farm | |
 | Balls Gone Wild | $0.99 | 105 85% | 3.2k | $3.1k (exactly $3,118) | Tolya Dmitriev | |
 | PrizeFighter - Heavyweight Edition | $14.99 | 6 100% | 180 | $2.7k (exactly $2,698) | Screaming Villains | |
 | Otaku VR: Sit-ups and Kisses | · EA | $9.99 | 6 100% | 180 | $1.8k (exactly $1,798) | LUO WENJUN |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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