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Should I ship a Dynamic Narration Sports game?
Sports + Dynamic Narration
Only 17 developers shipped a Dynamic Narration Sports game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Outpost Legends, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 9 more are announced.
Verdict: strong odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $4.2k, ×6.7 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 7 in 10 cleared $1.1k. Revenue is up 180% on the market; 9 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×0.6 per shipper.
| Bottom 30% | $1.2k (exactly $1,198) |
|---|---|
| Median | $4.2k (exactly $4,194) |
| Top 25% | $97k (exactly $97,176) |
| Top 5% | $101k (exactly $100,775) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 17 |
| Released games | 25 |
| Announced | 9 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $14.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 180% on the market, supply 365% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Sports
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Dynamic Narration
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Sports, Dynamic Narration; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Choices Matter, Crafting
- Price point
- $14.99 typical · top 25% priced $39.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Dialogue Heavy
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $14.99.
The top 10 games average 88% positive over 512 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $1.2k. 9 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Sports with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + CraftingFair
- + Strategy RPGFair
- + SandboxFair
- + Split ScreenFair
- + Dating SimFair
- + Visual NovelFair
- + LGBTQ+Fair
- + FMVFair
- + BikesFair
- + Immersive SimFair
- + Choices MatterFair
- + Choose Your Own AdventureFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Outpost Legends | $39.99 | 84 95% | 2.5k | $101k (exactly $100,775) | OUT LLL | |
| | Ocean Rush | $39.99 | 84 91% | 2.5k | $101k (exactly $100,775) | riko | |
| | Run from the Cops! | $39.99 | 83 92% | 2.5k | $100k (exactly $99,575) | CAPITAL RUN | |
| | GEL RUN | $39.99 | 83 89% | 2.5k | $100k (exactly $99,575) | Kaloyan Stoyanov | |
| | Explosive Escape | $39.99 | 81 86% | 2.4k | $97k (exactly $97,176) | jakk o | |
| | Pro Show Jumping | older | $19.99 | 60 85% | 1.8k | $36k (exactly $35,982) | PSJ Studios |
| | Believr Pro Wrestling | · EA | $14.99 | 25 72% | 750 | $11k (exactly $11,242) | Believr Games |
| | Clutch Legend: FPS Career Simulator | $6.49 | 37 89% | 1.1k | $7.2k (exactly $7,204) | Federico Mariotti | |
| | Ironblood | · EA | $19.99 | 7 71% | 210 | $4.2k (exactly $4,198) | Jack Wilds |
| | Angel Club | $6.99 | 20 65% | 600 | $4.2k (exactly $4,194) | イルカのヒレ | |
| | Dynasty! | $14.99 | 8 87% | 240 | $3.6k (exactly $3,598) | newberry94005 |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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