Do I ship it?

GamesSportsSports + Split Screen

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Split Screen Sports game?

Sports + Split Screen

Of 58 developers who shipped a Split Screen Sports game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 52 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $4.0k, ×6.3 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $1.7k. Revenue is up 165% on the market; 52 games are announced against 29 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 6.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 165% on the market, 52 announced, ×1.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Sports + Split Screen
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 58
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $19k → $56k → $2.4k → $9.7k → $2.5k → $1.8k → $4.3k (still earning) → $10k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Sports + Split Screen: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 58
Bottom 30% $1.6k (exactly $1,647)
Median $4.0k (exactly $3,957)
Top 25% $18k (exactly $17,515)
Top 5% $938k (exactly $938,387)
Developers, 2 yr 58
Released games 213
Announced 52
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $10.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 165% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 5%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Sports
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Split Screen
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Sports, Split Screen; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry PvP, Racing, Arcade
Price point
$10.99 typical · top 25% priced $49.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Realistic, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $49.99 or above; the middle game at $10.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 31,442 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.7k, median $4.0k, 1 in 4 over $17k, 1 in 20 over $930k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.7k. 7 in 10 of the 33 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 52 games are announced against 29 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Sports with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dynamic NarrationStrong odds17 devs · median $4.2k · 9 announced
  2. + CraftingFair24 devs · median $37k · 26 announced
  3. + Strategy RPGFair23 devs · median $4.7k · 26 announced
  4. + SandboxFair83 devs · median $4.2k · 103 announced
  5. + Dating SimFair29 devs · median $3.6k · 21 announced
  6. + Visual NovelFair38 devs · median $3.4k · 31 announced
  7. + LGBTQ+Fair14 devs · median $3.4k · 13 announced
  8. + FMVFair17 devs · median $2.7k · 5 announced
  9. + BikesFair25 devs · median $2.5k · 18 announced
  10. + Immersive SimFair182 devs · median $2.4k · 185 announced
  11. + Choices MatterFair120 devs · median $2.4k · 150 announced
  12. + Choose Your Own AdventureFair38 devs · median $2.4k · 41 announced

All 199 pairs on the Sports page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Need for Speed™ Heat older $69.99 128,933 84% 3.9M $271M (exactly $270,720,620) Ghost Games
Need for Speed™ Unbound older $69.99 49,862 61% 1.5M $105M (exactly $104,695,241) Criterion Games
F1® 25 $49.99 25,395 87% 762k $38M (exactly $38,084,882) Codemasters
DiRT Rally 2.0 older $19.99 39,091 89% 1.2M $23M (exactly $23,442,873) Codemasters
RIDE 4 older $39.99 9,921 83% 298k $12M (exactly $11,902,224) Milestone S.r.l.
WRC 7 FIA World Rally Championship older $19.99 12,146 82% 364k $7.3M (exactly $7,283,956) KT Racing
Sonic & All-Stars Racing Transformed Collection older $19.99 11,912 93% 357k $7.1M (exactly $7,143,626) Sumo Digital
Need for Speed™ Rivals older $19.99 9,265 76% 278k $5.6M (exactly $5,556,220) Criterion Games
Tony Hawk's™ Pro Skater™ 1 + 2 older $39.99 4,497 90% 135k $5.4M (exactly $5,395,051) Vicarious Visions, Iron Galaxy Studios
RIDE 5 older $49.99 3,368 82% 101k $5.1M (exactly $5,050,990) Milestone S.r.l.
Tennis Elbow 4 $29.99 1,077 96% 32k $969k (exactly $968,977) Mana Games
The Karters 2: Turbo Charged · EA $29.99 1,043 91% 31k $938k (exactly $938,387) Pixel Edge Games
MotoGP™25 $49.99 592 74% 18k $888k (exactly $887,822) Milestone S.r.l.
Super Woden: Rally Edge $12.99 1,552 96% 47k $605k (exactly $604,814) ViJuDa
MotoGP™26 $59.99 225 64% 6.8k $405k (exactly $404,932) Milestone S.r.l.
Victory Heat Rally $19.99 599 88% 18k $359k (exactly $359,220) Skydevilpalm
World of Outlaws: Dirt Racing 24 Gold Edition $39.99 243 89% 7.3k $292k (exactly $291,527) Monster Games, Amber
Pure Badminton $19.99 323 81% 9.7k $194k (exactly $193,703) DS SOFT
ReCharge RC: High Voltage · EA $13.99 393 95% 12k $165k (exactly $164,942) Hondune Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.