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Should I ship a Viking Simulation game?
Simulation + Vikings
Only 11 developers shipped a Viking Simulation game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Viking Frontiers, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $5.4k, ×8.6 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $4.7k; 1 in 20 cleared $320k, ×513 the market median. Revenue is up 180% on the market; 17 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $4.7k (exactly $4,680) |
|---|---|
| Median | $5.4k (exactly $5,397) |
| Top 25% | $42k (exactly $41,734) |
| Top 5% | $322k (exactly $322,039) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 11 |
| Released games | 29 |
| Announced | 17 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $6.50 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 180% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 3%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Simulation
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- Vikings
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Simulation
- Price point
- $6.50 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 68% positive over 985 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $4.7k. 7 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 17 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Simulation with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + Escape RoomStrong odds
- + World War IFair
- + Job SimulatorFair
- + LGBTQ+Fair
- + PinballFair
- + Female ProtagonistFair
- + BirdsFair
- + Artificial IntelligenceFair
- + MusicFair
- + Auto BattlerFair
- + ProgrammingFair
Comparable games
Northgard: Definitive Edition 2018 · $57M 
ASKA 2024 · EA · $7.8M 
Bad North: Jotunn Edition 2018 · $5.6M 
Frozenheim 2022 · $2.1M 
Land of the Vikings 2023 · $1.5M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Northgard: Definitive Edition | older | $34.99 | 54,478 85% | 1.6M | $57M (exactly $57,185,557) | Shiro Games |
| | ASKA | · EA older | $24.99 | 10,457 79% | 314k | $7.8M (exactly $7,839,613) | Sand Sailor Studio |
| | Bad North: Jotunn Edition | older | $14.99 | 12,344 93% | 370k | $5.6M (exactly $5,551,097) | Plausible Concept, Oskar Stålberg |
| | Frozenheim | older | $19.99 | 3,463 70% | 104k | $2.1M (exactly $2,076,761) | Paranoid Interactive |
| | Land of the Vikings | older | $25.99 | 1,960 72% | 59k | $1.5M (exactly $1,528,212) | Laps Games |
 | Love Delivery | older | $14.99 | 2,410 96% | 72k | $1.1M (exactly $1,083,777) | Cometsoft Inc. |
 | Dead In Vinland | older | $27.80 | 1,175 78% | 35k | $980k (exactly $979,950) | Ishtar Games |
 | Viking Frontiers | $19.99 | 537 51% | 16k | $322k (exactly $322,039) | BLUM Entertainment | |
 | Valhalla Hills | older | $6.99 | 676 60% | 20k | $142k (exactly $141,757) | Funatics Software |
 | Cultures - Northland | older | $4.99 | 599 82% | 18k | $90k (exactly $89,670) | Funatics Software |
 | ShipShaper: Falconeer Chronicles | · EA | $8.99 | 192 96% | 5.8k | $52k (exactly $51,782) | Tomas Sala |
 | Vilde | $15.99 | 87 74% | 2.6k | $42k (exactly $41,734) | Chaotic Minds | |
 | Tales Of Glory 4 : Ragnarok | · EA | $29.99 | 31 83% | 930 | $28k (exactly $27,891) | BlackTale Games |
 | Battle Synth | $4.99 | 56 92% | 1.7k | $8.4k (exactly $8,383) | Cow Games | |
 | Ashen Arrows | $17.99 | 10 90% | 300 | $5.4k (exactly $5,397) | Rusty Pipes Games | |
 | Viking Vending | $4.99 | 36 91% | 1.1k | $5.4k (exactly $5,389) | FatFishGame | |
 | North Hunt | $6.50 | 24 75% | 720 | $4.7k (exactly $4,680) | NewGen | |
 | Raidbound | $4.99 | 6 33% | 180 | $898 (exactly $898) | Rustin Robinson | |
 | Lord Of Island | $2.99 | 6 100% | 180 | $538 (exactly $538) | TungataGames |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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