Do I ship it?

GamesSimulationSimulation + Trivia

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Trivia Simulation game?

Simulation + Trivia

Of 36 developers who shipped a Trivia Simulation game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 21 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×2.0 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $60; 1 in 20 cleared $52k, ×84 the market median. Revenue is down 65% on the market; 21 games are announced against 22 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 65% on the market, 21 announced, ×1.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Simulation + Trivia
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 36
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $270 → $239 → $180 → $2.2k → $60 → $4.4k → $1.3k (still earning) → $180 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Simulation + Trivia: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 36
Bottom 30% $60 (exactly $60)
Median $1.3k (exactly $1,256)
Top 25% $11k (exactly $10,789)
Top 5% $53k (exactly $52,876)
Developers, 2 yr 36
Released games 150
Announced 21
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 65% on the market, supply 55% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Simulation
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Trivia
effort 1 / 10 · high · question bank and scoring

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Simulation, Trivia; 3 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Puzzle, Choose Your Own Adventure, Point & Click
Price point
$3.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Funny, 2D, Comedy
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.

The top 10 games average 36% positive over 23,328 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $60, median $1.3k, 1 in 4 over $10k, 1 in 20 over $52k.

3 in 10 developers made under $60. 9 in 10 of the 19 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 21 games are announced against 22 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Simulation with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds150 devs · median $55k · 81 announced
  2. + Escape RoomStrong odds36 devs · median $3.6k · 26 announced
  3. + World War IFair23 devs · median $32k · 32 announced
  4. + Job SimulatorFair285 devs · median $12k · 362 announced
  5. + LGBTQ+Fair272 devs · median $9.7k · 303 announced
  6. + PinballFair27 devs · median $8.2k · 28 announced
  7. + Female ProtagonistFair672 devs · median $5.1k · 754 announced
  8. + BirdsFair19 devs · median $3.8k · 16 announced
  9. + Artificial IntelligenceFair387 devs · median $3.0k · 490 announced
  10. + MusicFair81 devs · median $3.0k · 92 announced
  11. + Auto BattlerFair219 devs · median $2.5k · 293 announced
  12. + ProgrammingFair132 devs · median $2.2k · 174 announced

All 287 pairs on the Simulation page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
BidKing $2.99 22,238 33% 667k $2.0M (exactly $1,994,749) MindSurge Network & Games
Who Wants To Be A Millionaire older $29.99 405 52% 12k $364k (exactly $364,378) Appeal Studios, Balio Studio
Réussir : Code de la Route - Nouvelle Édition (French Highway Code) older $14.99 500 88% 15k $225k (exactly $224,850) Smart Tale Games
Moviehouse – The Film Studio Tycoon older $10.99 225 32% 6.8k $74k (exactly $74,182) Odyssey Studios
Party Quiz $11.99 147 80% 4.4k $53k (exactly $52,876) White Ink
Trivia Vault: 1980's Trivia older $13.99 105 68% 3.2k $44k (exactly $44,068) Ripknot Systems
Trivia Vault: 1980's Trivia 2 older $13.99 98 61% 2.9k $41k (exactly $41,131) Ripknot Systems
Trivia Vault: Classic Rock Trivia older $13.99 95 66% 2.9k $40k (exactly $39,872) Ripknot Systems
Trivia Vault: Super Heroes Trivia older $13.99 94 64% 2.8k $39k (exactly $39,452) Ripknot Systems
Trivia Vault: Classic Rock Trivia 2 older $13.99 88 65% 2.6k $37k (exactly $36,934) Ripknot Systems
KUUKIYOMI: Consider It World - Thailand Ver. $9.99 107 98% 3.2k $32k (exactly $32,068) Urnique Studio
QSVT: ¡Que se vayan todos! $6.99 75 88% 2.3k $16k (exactly $15,728) Sendero tecnológico
MEMOLOGY 2: OLD TIMES $0.99 527 95% 16k $16k (exactly $15,652) hannibalnotdead, Gamesforfarm
MAELSTROM LEGACY: The Tesla Mystery $10.99 36 69% 1.1k $12k (exactly $11,869) Wistfulware
Hologuard $7.99 48 95% 1.4k $12k (exactly $11,506) illuCalab
KUUKIYOMI 4: Consider It $7.99 47 85% 1.4k $11k (exactly $11,266) G-MODE
Gallery: Coloring book & decor $9.99 36 97% 1.1k $11k (exactly $10,789) Beresnev Games
EYES ON THE EXAM $4.99 67 91% 2.0k $10k (exactly $10,030) Carlos 'Monty' Montamarta

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.