Games › Simulation › Simulation + Tennis
Should I ship a Tennis Simulation game?
Simulation + Tennis
Only 15 developers shipped a Tennis Simulation game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Tennis Elbow 4, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 10 more are announced.
Verdict: fair, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.7k, ×2.7 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $540. Revenue is up 20% on the market; 10 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $539 (exactly $539) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.7k (exactly $1,709) |
| Top 25% | $55k (exactly $55,186) |
| Top 5% | $969k (exactly $968,977) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 15 |
| Released games | 59 |
| Announced | 10 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 20% on the market, supply 85% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 5%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Simulation
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- Tennis
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Simulation, Tennis; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Sports, Co-op, Immersive Sim
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $39.99 or above
- Art
- 8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Realistic
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 87% positive over 3,464 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $540. 9 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 10 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Simulation with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + Escape RoomStrong odds
- + World War IFair
- + Job SimulatorFair
- + LGBTQ+Fair
- + PinballFair
- + Female ProtagonistFair
- + BirdsFair
- + Artificial IntelligenceFair
- + MusicFair
- + Auto BattlerFair
- + ProgrammingFair
Comparable games
AO Tennis 2 2020 · $1.9M 
Eleven Table Tennis 2016 · $1.8M 
TopSpin 2K25 2024 · $1.2M 
TIEBREAK – GRAND SLAM EDITION 2024 · $1.0M 
Tennis Elbow 4 2026 · $969k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | AO Tennis 2 | older | $49.99 | 1,236 70% | 37k | $1.9M (exactly $1,853,629) | Big Ant Studios |
| | Eleven Table Tennis | older | $19.99 | 3,015 94% | 90k | $1.8M (exactly $1,808,095) | For Fun Labs |
| | TopSpin 2K25 | older | $19.99 | 2,040 57% | 61k | $1.2M (exactly $1,223,388) | Hangar 13 |
| | TIEBREAK – GRAND SLAM EDITION | older | $49.99 | 668 76% | 20k | $1.0M (exactly $1,001,800) | Big Ant Studios |
| | Tennis Elbow 4 | $29.99 | 1,077 96% | 32k | $969k (exactly $968,977) | Mana Games | |
 | Academy Love Saga: Tennis Angels EX | $9.99 | 1,733 85% | 52k | $519k (exactly $519,380) | Tora Creatives | |
 | All-In-One Sports VR | older | $19.99 | 700 84% | 21k | $420k (exactly $419,790) | Appnori Inc. |
 | Full Ace Tennis Simulator | older | $24.99 | 486 90% | 15k | $364k (exactly $364,354) | Galactic Gaming Guild |
 | Tennis Elbow 2013 | older | $14.99 | 673 93% | 20k | $303k (exactly $302,648) | Mana Games |
 | Tennis World Tour | older | $29.99 | 325 49% | 9.8k | $292k (exactly $292,402) | Breakpoint |
 | Pure Badminton | $19.99 | 323 81% | 9.7k | $194k (exactly $193,703) | DS SOFT | |
 | Tennis Manager 26 | $39.99 | 46 73% | 1.4k | $55k (exactly $55,186) | Rebound | |
 | Tennis Manager 25 | $19.99 | 76 68% | 2.3k | $46k (exactly $45,577) | Rebound | |
 | Academy Love Saga: Tennis Angels | $8.99 | 163 92% | 4.9k | $44k (exactly $43,961) | Tora Creatives | |
 | Absolute Tennis Manager 2 | $19.99 | 9 44% | 270 | $5.4k (exactly $5,397) | ATEMIX | |
 | Tennis Fighters | $7.99 | 22 63% | 660 | $5.3k (exactly $5,273) | TDO Games | |
 | Coastal Summit Sports: College Athletics 27 | $9.99 | 12 25% | 360 | $3.6k (exactly $3,596) | Coastal Summit Sports | |
 | on Titan | $18.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $1.7k (exactly $1,709) | Aleksandr Akimov |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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