Do I ship it?

GamesThird-Person ShooterThird-Person Shooter + Resource Management

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Resource Management Third-Person Shooter?

Third-Person Shooter + Resource Management

Of 29 developers who shipped a Resource Management Third-Person Shooter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 64 more are announced, ×4.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.7k, ×1.8 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $210k, ×146 the market median. Revenue is up 600% on the market; 64 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 600% on the market, 64 announced, ×4.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Third-Person Shooter + Resource Management
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 29
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.8k → $1.5k → $4.5k → $599 → $449 → $4.7k → $6.1k (still earning) → $4.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Third-Person Shooter + Resource Management: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 29
Bottom 30% $599 (exactly $599)
Median $2.7k (exactly $2,697)
Top 25% $5.8k (exactly $5,753)
Top 5% $219k (exactly $219,334)
Developers, 2 yr 29
Released games 63
Announced 64
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 600% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Third-Person Shooter
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Resource Management
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Third-Person Shooter, Resource Management; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Action-Adventure
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Third Person, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 8,687 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $2.7k, 1 in 4 over $5.7k, 1 in 20 over $210k.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. 9 in 10 of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 64 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Third-Person Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RhythmStrong odds6 devs · median $3.3k · 6 announced
  2. + WesternFair15 devs · median $1.4k · 16 announced
  3. + CollectathonLong shot19 devs · median $599 · 20 announced
  4. + Time ManagementLong shot15 devs · median $538 · 12 announced
  5. + Walking SimulatorLong shot27 devs · median $479 · 27 announced
  6. + Class-BasedPoor odds11 devs · median $13k · 53 announced
  7. + Creature CollectorPoor odds12 devs · median $13k · 15 announced
  8. + DinosaursPoor odds8 devs · median $9.0k · 14 announced
  9. + MechsPoor odds38 devs · median $7.2k · 63 announced
  10. + Alternate HistoryPoor odds12 devs · median $6.9k · 70 announced
  11. + Level EditorPoor odds10 devs · median $6.9k · 14 announced
  12. + CraftingPoor odds65 devs · median $5.1k · 156 announced

All 163 pairs on the Third-Person Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Resident Evil 4 older $39.99 186,701 97% 5.6M $224M (exactly $223,985,190) CAPCOM Co., Ltd.
Cronos: The New Dawn $59.99 7,753 87% 233k $14M (exactly $13,953,074) Bloober Team
Haydee 2 older $24.99 1,649 87% 49k $1.2M (exactly $1,236,255) Haydee Interactive
El Paso, Elsewhere older $19.99 1,393 90% 42k $835k (exactly $835,382) Strange Scaffold
Heaven Dust 2 older $14.99 771 90% 23k $347k (exactly $346,719) One Gruel Studio
Home Wars older $9.99 1,141 78% 34k $342k (exactly $341,958) Insane Dreamers
The Boss Gangster: Criminal Empire · EA $18.99 385 81% 12k $219k (exactly $219,334) BEF GAMES
Giants: Citizen Kabuto older $19.99 198 94% 5.9k $119k (exactly $118,741) Planet Moon Studios
The Dead Thread $29.99 100 74% 3.0k $90k (exactly $89,970) JSK Games
Into The Haze · EA older $14.99 124 55% 3.7k $56k (exactly $55,763) MSOFT
World Crafter TD $14.99 70 48% 2.1k $31k (exactly $31,479) Tbjbu2
Carnival Massacre $4.99 205 91% 6.2k $31k (exactly $30,688) Norbert Baranyi
Signalfall · EA $11.99 18 66% 540 $6.5k (exactly $6,475) Fallen Relay
Shoot The Barrels $1.99 103 72% 3.1k $6.1k (exactly $6,149) BATTLE LAB
Neophyte Protocol · EA $7.99 24 66% 720 $5.8k (exactly $5,753) Ironwerks Studios
Gravehold: Survival $9.99 17 76% 510 $5.1k (exactly $5,095) Obsidian Core
Sanguine · EA $12.99 12 91% 360 $4.7k (exactly $4,676) Ryan Berg

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.