Do I ship it?

GamesThird-Person ShooterThird-Person Shooter + Real Time Tactics

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Real Time Tactics Third-Person Shooter?

Third-Person Shooter + Real Time Tactics

Of 27 developers who shipped a Real Time Tactics Third-Person Shooter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 50 more are announced, ×6.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $450, ×0.3 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180. 50 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.3 per shipper, while revenue is flat on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 50 announced, ×6.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Third-Person Shooter + Real Time Tactics
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 27
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $239 → $599 → $148k → $119 → $1.0k → $299 → $60 (still earning) → $3.0k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Third-Person Shooter + Real Time Tactics: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 27
Bottom 30% $179 (exactly $179)
Median $450 (exactly $450)
Top 25% $3.0k (exactly $2,992)
Top 5% $52k (exactly $52,462)
Developers, 2 yr 27
Released games 89
Announced 50
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 60% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Third-Person Shooter
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Real Time Tactics
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Third-Person Shooter, Real Time Tactics; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Strategy, Online Co-Op
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $13.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Third Person, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $13.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 70% positive over 40,279 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $450, 1 in 4 over $2.9k, 1 in 20 over $52k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 8 in 10 of the 26 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 50 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Third-Person Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RhythmStrong odds6 devs · median $3.3k · 6 announced
  2. + WesternFair15 devs · median $1.4k · 16 announced
  3. + CollectathonLong shot19 devs · median $599 · 20 announced
  4. + Time ManagementLong shot15 devs · median $538 · 12 announced
  5. + Walking SimulatorLong shot27 devs · median $479 · 27 announced
  6. + Class-BasedPoor odds11 devs · median $13k · 53 announced
  7. + Creature CollectorPoor odds12 devs · median $13k · 15 announced
  8. + DinosaursPoor odds8 devs · median $9.0k · 14 announced
  9. + MechsPoor odds38 devs · median $7.2k · 63 announced
  10. + Alternate HistoryPoor odds12 devs · median $6.9k · 70 announced
  11. + Level EditorPoor odds10 devs · median $6.9k · 14 announced
  12. + CraftingPoor odds65 devs · median $5.1k · 156 announced

All 163 pairs on the Third-Person Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
REMATCH $29.99 39,905 70% 1.2M $36M (exactly $35,902,528) Sloclap
Children of the Sun older $14.99 2,005 92% 60k $902k (exactly $901,648) René Rother
Black One Blood Brothers · EA older $17.99 1,366 78% 41k $737k (exactly $737,230) Helios Studio
Battle Cry of Freedom older $10.00 2,092 71% 63k $628k (exactly $627,600) Flying Squirrel Entertainment
Home Wars older $9.99 1,141 78% 34k $342k (exactly $341,958) Insane Dreamers
Bot Wars · EA older $14.99 700 86% 21k $315k (exactly $314,790) Frompy Games
Attack on Toys · EA older $6.99 1,158 93% 35k $243k (exactly $242,833) N7T-GAMES
DIRECT CONTACT · EA older $14.99 328 31% 9.8k $148k (exactly $147,502) Mountain 81
Timemelters older $19.99 152 92% 4.6k $91k (exactly $91,154) Autoexec Games
Prime & Load : 1776 older $7.99 313 76% 9.4k $75k (exactly $75,026) Radio Silence Entertainment
Dawn of Anarchy $13.99 125 84% 3.8k $52k (exactly $52,462) Quacky Games
Death row inmates on the run 2--The Resistance $6.99 86 55% 2.6k $18k (exactly $18,034) zzzgame
Tactical Warfare $9.99 52 67% 1.6k $16k (exactly $15,584) Mizrab
Climber Girl $7.99 19 36% 570 $4.6k (exactly $4,554) AlterLab Development
Stopping Move $9.99 10 100% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,997) Gamesforgames
Grim Pastures · EA $3.99 25 96% 750 $3.0k (exactly $2,992) 7hgamestudio
MiniWarfare · EA $9.99 6 100% 180 $1.8k (exactly $1,798) BajaStorm
Nivoz Running Canned $7.99 6 100% 180 $1.4k (exactly $1,438) morning glows
MEMOLOGY: ITALIAN MEME WAR $0.99 45 97% 1.4k $1.3k (exactly $1,336) Piece Of Voxel, Gamesforfarm

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.